Funko Story

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#754DEB;color: #F0FFF0;font-size:3em;'>FNK</div>
FNKO -- USA Stock  

USD 11.71  0.09  0.77%

My story will outline Funko. We will analyze why it could be a much better year for Funko shareholders. Funko Inc is currently traded for 10.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.06. The firm is forecasted to increase in value after the next press release, with the price going to jump to 11.12. The latest volatility of headline impact on the company stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price upswing on the next news is estimated to be 2.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.08%. Given the investment horizon of 30 days the next forecasted announcement will be in about 7 days.
Published over a month ago
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Is Funko (NASDAQ:FNKO) gaining more confidence from institutional investors?
Funko holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.3566, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Funko's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Funko are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Funko is expected to outperform it. Although it is vital to follow Funko Inc historical returns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to look not only at its past charts but also at the business as a whole, including all fundamental and technical indicators. To evaluate if Funko Inc expected return of 1.08 will be sustainable into the future, we have found twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to check if the expected returns are sustainable. Use Funko semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power to analyze future returns on Funko.
The successful prediction of Funko stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Funko Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Funko based on Funko hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Funko's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Funko's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Funko expected Price

Funko technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Funko technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Funko trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions. It is good to see analyst projects for Funko, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Exercise or conversion by Andrew Perlmutter of 56250 shares of Funko subject to Rule 16b-3

Legal trades by Funko insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Funko insider trading alert for exercise of restricted stock units by Andrew Perlmutter, PRESIDENT, on 2nd of October 2020. This event was filed by Funko Inc with SEC on 2020-10-02. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

A Deeper look at Funko

The latest price rise of Funko Inc could raise concerns from institutional investors as the firm it trading at a share price of 10.90 on 3,970,900 in volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in January. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 6.16. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Funko partners.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Book Value per Share5.626.57.37.35
Asset Turnover0.91.11.061.12

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Funko Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be quite stable with very little volatility. The value of Cost of Revenue is projected to decrease to about 492.8 M. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Funko Cost of Revenue is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Cost of Revenue is estimated at 492.82 Million
2010
2017
2018
2019
2020
2010280.4 Million
2017317.27 Million
2018430.75 Million
2019512.58 Million
2020492.82 Million

Will Funko growth be rational after the rise?

Value At Risk just dropped to -7.71, may entail upcoming price decrease. Funko Inc exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Funko Inc individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about Funko future systematic risk.

Our Conclusion on Funko

Whereas many of the other players under the leisure industry are still a bit expensive, Funko may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. With a less-than optimistic outlook for your 30 days horizon, it may be a good time to exit some or all of your Funko holdings as it seems the potential growth was already fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Funko.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Funko Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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