Greif Story

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#FF0F00;color: #FFFFF0;font-size:3em;'>GEF</div>
GEF -- USA Stock  

USD 34.44  0.70  1.99%

A current spike in volatility has left many shareholders looking confused. In this story, we will digest Greif Inc. We will analyze why it could be a much better year for Greif shareholders. On the 26th of August the company is traded for 38.87. Greif Inc has historical hype elasticity of 0.13. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.1. The entity is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price going to jump to 39.0. The latest volatility of media hype impact on Greif stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Greif is about 683.03% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 38.97 Considering the 30-days investment horizon, the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Published over three weeks ago
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Is Greif (NYSE:GEF) gaining more confidence from shareholders?
Greif Inc's average rating is Sell from 6 analysts. Greif Inc investment recommendation module can be used to check and cross-verify current trade recommendations provided by analysts evaluating the entity's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time.
The successful prediction of Greif stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Greif Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Greif based on Greif hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Greif's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Greif's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Greif expected Price

Greif technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Greif technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Greif trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Greif utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Greif, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Greif is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Greif cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Greif Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 447.93 Million

What is driving Greif Investor Appetite?

The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.76 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 171.4 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 959.9 M.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Greif Cost of Revenue is increasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Cost of Revenue is expected to dwindle to about 4 B. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Greif Cost of Revenue is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cost of Revenue was at 4.18 Billion
20133.43 Billion
20142.95 Billion
20152.64 Billion
20162.92 Billion
20173.08 Billion
20183.64 Billion
20194.18 Billion
20203.98 Billion

How will Greif shareholders react to the next dip?

Greif latest jensen alpha ascents over 0.15. Greif Inc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Greif Inc further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Greif future alpha.

Our Final Take On Greif

Although some other firms in the packaging & containers industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Greif may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither acquire nor short any shares of Greif at this time. The Greif Inc risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Greif.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Greif Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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