Is Griffin Industrial a good short-term trade before volatility ascents?

Griffin Industrial Earnings before Tax are expected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Earnings before Tax were at 3.97 Million. The current year Average Equity is expected to grow to about 86.6 M, whereas Average Assets are expected to decline to about 280.1 M. Griffin Industrial is scheduled to announce its earnings today. While some of us are excited about real estate, it makes sense to digest Griffin Industrial Realty in greater details. We will evaluate why we are still optimistic in anticipation of a recovery. The firm Piotroski F Score is 7 - Strong. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Griffin Industrial is expected to generate 1.89 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.89 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The market is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk. The company follows the market closely.
Published over a year ago
View all stories for Gabelli Global | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Rifka Kats

GRIFFIN LAND NURS currently holds roughly 8.7 M in cash with 10.19 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.7. Griffin Industrial currently holds 171.75 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.95, which is about average as compared to similar companies. This firm has a current ratio of 2.88, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due.
Investing in Gabelli Global, just like investing in any other equity instrument, is characterized by a strong risk-return correlation. High risks mean high returns and low risk means lower expected returns. Risk management is the act of identifying and assessing the potential risk and developing strategies to minimize these risks and earn maximum possible profits while holding Gabelli Global along with other instruments in the same portfolio. Using conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis to select individual securities into a portfolio complements risk management and adds value to overall investors' investing strategies.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gabelli Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gabelli Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gabelli Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gabelli Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gabelli Global Mini.

Instrument Allocation

The asset allocation of funds such as Gabelli Global usually varies among a different mix of asset classes. Balanced mutual funds invest not only in bonds, which focus primarily on income, and stocks, which aim for investment growth, but also keep some reserve in cash or even exotic instruments. Below we show the current asset allocation of Gabelli Global Mini
Details

Breaking it down

Griffin Industrial makes 132.74 m total asset. Griffin Industrial appears to be very steady, given 1 month investment horizon. Griffin Industrial holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.21, which attests that the entity had 0.21% of return per unit of risk over the last month. Our standpoint towards determining the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By evaluating Griffin Industrial technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.72% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Griffin Industrial downside deviation of 2.93, risk adjusted performance of 0.4639, and market risk adjusted performance of 1.07 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Griffin Industrial Average Assets is rather stable at the moment. Griffin Industrial Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD is increasing over the last 8 years. Furthermore, Griffin Industrial Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is rather stable at the moment.

Our Griffin analysis indicates possible reversion in August

Latest value at risk is at -4.31. Griffin Industrial Realty currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation of 2.93. It has Information Ratio of 0.2 and Jensen Alpha of 0.72. However, we do advice investors to further question Griffin Industrial Realty expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.

Our Final Takeaway

Although some other firms under real estate—development industry are still a bit expensive, Griffin Industrial may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. In closing, as of 9th of July 2020, we believe Griffin Industrial is currently undervalued. It follows the market closely and projects below average odds of financial turmoil in the next two years. Our actual 30 days buy or sell advice on the firm is Strong Buy. With an optimistic outlook on your 30 days horizon, it may be a good time to pick up new shares of Griffin or increase your existing holdings in the Stock as it seems the potential growth has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Griffin Industrial.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Gabelli Global Mini. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com