Guild Story

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GHLD -- USA Stock  

USD 16.74  0.64  3.98%

The objective of this story is to give shareholders our take on Guild future value. We will discuss the reasons why it could be a game-changer for Guild Holdings shareholders.
Published over a month ago
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Is there a reason to drop Guild (NYSE:GHLD) and short Encore Capital?
Guild Holdings is UNDERVALUED at 16.13 per share with modest projections ahead. The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The latest return on assets of Guild indicates not a very effective usage of assets in December. When we forecast the price of Guild Holdings, we are not concerned with any of Guild Holdings fundamentals. We simply determine the future price of Guild Holdings stock based solely on the trends of the past price. We use techniques such as the exponential moving average (EMA), oscillators, momentum and volume indicators, and others. Technical analysis is rather used for short-term strategies than the long-term ones. Our analysis's main assumption is that everything significant aboutGuild Holdings is already priced into the stock.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guild Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Guild Holdings

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guild Holdings' stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Guild Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guild Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guild Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guild Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Guild Holdings.

How important is Guild Holdings's Liquidity

Guild Holdings financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Guild Holdings ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Guild Holdings financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Guild Holdings's total debt and its cash.

How Guild utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Guild Holdings, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Guild Holdings is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Guild Holdings cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Guild Holdings Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at (382.24 Million)

Is Guild Holdings valued correctly by the market?

Guild Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.75 and kurtosis of 4.46. However, we advise investors to further study Guild Holdings technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.

Returns Breakdown

Return on Assets
Return on Sales
Return Capital
Return on Assets0.001789
Return on Equity0.0116
Return Capital0.001789
Return on Sales0.008211

Will price continue to surge in January 2021?

The skewness is down to 1.75 as of today. Guild Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.75 and kurtosis of 4.46. However, we advise investors to further study Guild Holdings technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.

Our Conclusion on Guild Holdings

When is the right time to buy or sell Guild Holdings? Buying stocks such as Guild Holdings isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities, deliver winning trades and diversify portfolios on a daily basis. To conclude, as of the 2nd of December 2020, our analysis shows that Guild Holdings moves indifferently to market moves. The firm is undervalued and projects quite high probability of distress for the next 2 years. Our latest 30 days buy-hold-sell recommendation on the firm is Hold.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of Guild Holdings. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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