Gulf Island Story

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GIFI -- USA Stock  

USD 4.17  0.27  6.92%

While some of us are excited about energy space, it makes sense to concentrate on Gulf Island Fab in greater detail to make a better perception of its potential. As expected, Gulf Island is starting to reaffirm its true potential as stockholders are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. The returns on the market and returns on Gulf Island appear somewhat related for the last few months. The occurrence of stable technical and fundamental indicators of the company implies a mid-run price swing for stockholders of Gulf Island. Gulf Island Fab is scheduled to announce its earnings tomorrow.
Published over three weeks ago
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Our current technical analysis of Gulf Island Fab (NASDAQ:GIFI)
Gulf Island Fab's average rating is Hold from 1 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Gulf Island market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Gulf Island. Let us look at a few aspects of Gulf Island technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gulf Island Fab. In general, we focus on analyzing Gulf Island stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Gulf Island's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Gulf Island's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Gulf Island, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Gulf Island price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gulf Island's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Gulf Island in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gulf Island. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gulf Island's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gulf Island's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Gulf Island Fab.

How does Gulf Island Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Gulf Island competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Gulf Island across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Gulf Island Competition Details

How Gulf Island utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Gulf Island, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Gulf Island is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Gulf Island cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Gulf Island Net Cash Flow from Operations is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Net Cash Flow from Operations was reported at (19.01 Million)

Payment of 6442 shares by Morvant James L of Gulf Island subject to Rule 16b-3

Legal trades by Gulf Island insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Gulf Island insider trading alert for payment of commom stock by Morvant James L, the corporate stakeholder, on 11th of March 2021. This event was filed by Gulf Island Fabrication I with SEC on 2021-03-11. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Closer look at Gulf Island Standard Deviation

Gulf Island Fab has current Standard Deviation of 2.66. The Standard Deviation is a measure of how spread out the prices or returns of an asset are on average. It is the most widely used risk indicator in the field of investing and finance. Standard Deviation is commonly used to measure confidence in statistical conclusions regarding certain equity instruments or portfolios of equities.

Standard deviation is applied to the annual rate of return of an investment to measure the investment's volatility. Standard deviation is also known as historical volatility and is used by investors as a gauge for the amount of expected market volatility. A large standard deviation usually indicates that the data points are far from the mean and a small standard deviation indicates that they are clustered closely around the mean.

Standard Deviation 
SQRT = Square root notation
V =   Variance of Gulf Island returns
Let's now compare Gulf Island Standard Deviation to its closest peers:

Will Gulf Island continue to rise?

The potential upside is down to 5.18 as of today. Gulf Island Fab currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.16. However, we advise investors to further question Gulf Island Fab expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Gulf Island's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Gulf Island's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Conclusion on Gulf Island

While many other companies within the oil & gas equipment & services industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Gulf Island may offer a potential longer-term growth to stockholders. With a somewhat neutral outlook on your 30 days horizon, it may be better to hold off any trading activity and neither buy new shares of Gulf Island nor exit your existing holdings in the Stock. It seems the expected volatility has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Gulf Island.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Gulf Island Fab. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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