Golar Story

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GLNG -- USA Stock  

USD 12.19  0.14  1.16%

Golar LNG is currently generating 0.2124% in daily expected returns and assumes 7.1332% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 60 days horizon. While some of us are excited about energy space, it makes sense to digest Golar LNG in greater detail to make a better estimate of its risk and reward. We will discuss how risky is to take a position in Golar LNG at this time.
Published over a month ago
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Will Golar LNG (NASDAQ:GLNG) latest volatility force shareholders to lock down?
Golar LNG Limited currently holds 2.6 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.75, which is about average as compared to similar companies. The entity has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. On a scale of 0 to 100, Golar LNG holds a performance score of 2. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e. Beta) of 0.0716, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Golar's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Golar LNG returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Golar LNG will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is extremely important to respect Golar LNG Limited current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Golar LNG Limited technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.21% will be sustainable into the future. Please utilizes Golar LNG information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall to make a quick decision on whether Golar LNG Limited current trending patterns will revert.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Golar LNG or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Golar LNG may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Golar's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Golar LNG and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Golar LNG fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Golar LNG's Liquidity

Golar LNG financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Golar LNG Limited ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Golar LNG financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Golar LNG's total debt and its cash.

How Golar utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Golar LNG, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Golar LNG is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Golar LNG cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Golar LNG Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 95.89 Million

Golar LNG Volatility Drivers

Golar LNG unsystematic risk is unique to Golar LNG Limited and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Golar LNG you can also buy Antero Midstream. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the oil & gas midstream sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Golar LNG important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Golar LNG income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Golar volatility.
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