Gms Stock Story

GMS
 Stock
  

USD 45.49  0.32  0.71%   

Gms is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.9532% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. Although many risk-takers are getting more into industrials space, some of us are not very happy with Gms' current volatility. We will discuss if the expected returns on Gms will justify its current volatility. Gms' low volatility may still impact the value of the stock as we estimate it as currently undervalued. The real value, based on our analysis, is getting close to 52.26 per share.
Published few days ago
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Gms Inc Current Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Gms' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Gms. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gms can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gms Inc. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Gms' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Gms' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Gms' news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Gms.

Gms Maximum Pain Price across 2022-07-15 Option Contracts

Gms' options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Gms close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Gms' options.
What is July outlook for Gms (NYSE:GMS) given current volatility levels?
Gms Inc has roughly 86.97 M in cash with 64.92 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.02.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Gms or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Gms may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Gms's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Gms and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Gms fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Gms's Liquidity

Gms financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Gms Inc ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Gms financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Gms's total debt and its cash.

How does Gms utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Gms, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Gms is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Gms cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Gms Net Cash Flow from Operations is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Gms reported last year Net Cash Flow from Operations of 179.61 Million

Gms Volatility Drivers

Gms unsystematic risk is unique to Gms Inc and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Gms you can also buy Carlisle Companies. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the building products & equipment sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Gms important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Gms income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Gms volatility.
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