Should you buy Gentex (NASDAQ:GNTX) based on current technical indicators?

Whilst many millenniums are getting more into consumer cyclical space, it makes sense to break down Gentex against current trends within the economy. As we have suggested previously, Gentex is beginning its slide as investors shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. The returns on the market and returns on Gentex appear slightly correlated for the last few months. Strong technical and fundamental indicators of the company may also suggest signals of long term gains for Gentex investors. Gentex is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 23rd of April 2021.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

The company's average rating is Buy from 6 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Gentex market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Gentex. Let us look at a few aspects of Gentex technical analysis. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 18.96 %, which can signify that it executes well on its competitive strategies and has good control over its expenditures. This is very large. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 28.5 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.28.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gentex. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Gentex stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Gentex's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Gentex's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Gentex, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Gentex price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gentex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gentex. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gentex's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gentex's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gentex.

How important is Gentex's Liquidity

Gentex financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Gentex ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Gentex financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Gentex's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Gentex's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Gentex's total debt and its cash.

Gentex Gross Profit

Gentex Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Gentex previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Gentex Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Gentex's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Closer look at Gentex Semi Variance

Gentex has current Semi Variance of 2.46. Semi-variance provides a good measure of downside volatility for equity or a portfolio. It is similar to variance, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.
Semi-variance is the square of semi-deviation. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.
Semi Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ZERO) 
 = 
2.46
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual return deviation over selected period
N(ZERO) = Number of points with returns less than zero
Let's now compare Gentex Semi Variance to its closest peers:
GNTX
GTXMQ
GT
DORM
ALV
GNTX2.4608134540965336
GTXMQ4.72
GT18.08
DORM4.34
ALV3.6

Gentex is projected to stay under $34 in March

Risk adjusted performance is down to 0.11. It may suggest a possible volatility slide. Gentex has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.53 and kurtosis of 0.72. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Gentex to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns.

Our Final Takeaway

While some firms under the auto parts industry are still a bit expensive, Gentex may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. While some investors may not share our view, we believe it may be a good time to increase your existing holdings in Gentex as the risk-reward trade off is appealing enough to hold a position. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Gentex.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Gentex. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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