Guaranty Stock Story

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Vlad Skutelnik .  Story
GNTY
 Stock
  

USD 36.18  0.19  0.52%   

By Vlad Skutelnik
Macroaxis Story
Guaranty Bancshares Enterprise Value over EBIT is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Guaranty Bancshares reported Enterprise Value over EBIT of 3.00 in 2021. Enterprise Value over EBITDA is likely to rise to 2.41 in 2022, whereas Revenue Per Employee is likely to drop slightly above 232.6 K in 2022. The goal of this article is to give investors our take on Guaranty future value. We will inspect the reasons why it could be a game-changer for Guaranty Bancshares investors.
Published over two weeks ago
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Guaranty Bancshares Sentiment by News Outlets

zacks News
Macroaxis News: globenewswire.com
benzinga news
Investors Business Daily at Macroaxis

Guaranty Bancshares Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Guaranty Bancshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Guaranty. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Guaranty can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Guaranty Bancshares. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Guaranty Bancshares' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Guaranty Bancshares' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Guaranty Bancshares' news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Guaranty Bancshares.

Guaranty Bancshares Twitter Pulse

Investors have realized that leveraging social media to get the fastest information affecting stock prices isn't a theory anymore, it is a reality, and Twitter offers a platform that can outpace even the most trustworthy news aggregators. The influence of social media outlets on stock markets and stock prices of entities such as Guaranty Bancshares has been proven in recent years. We extract public sentiment from Twitter posts that could be utilized to determine whether Guaranty Bancshares' prices will increase or decrease.
Twitter's metrics such as likes, followers, and engagement can be good indicators of the reliance and probability of reaction to a specific tweet regarding Guaranty Bancshares. Our Twitter sentiment analysis of Guaranty Stock helps investors make informed decisions by leveraging the power of the community. It is a perfect supplementary tool for any beginner or an experienced trader.

Is Guaranty Bancshares (NASDAQ:GNTY) outlook positive for August 2022?

Guaranty Bancshares has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.6621, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Guaranty's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Guaranty Bancshares returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guaranty Bancshares will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is important to respect Guaranty Bancshares current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current price movements. The philosophy in determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Guaranty Bancshares technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.1% will be sustainable into the future. Guaranty Bancshares right now retains a risk of 1.53%. Please check out Guaranty Bancshares value at risk, and the relationship between the information ratio and kurtosis to decide if Guaranty Bancshares will be following its current trending patterns.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guaranty Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Guaranty Bancshares

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guaranty Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Guaranty Bancshares in the context of predictive analytics.
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guaranty Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guaranty Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guaranty Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Guaranty Bancshares.

How important is Guaranty Bancshares's Liquidity

Guaranty Bancshares financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Guaranty Bancshares ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Guaranty Bancshares financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Guaranty Bancshares's total debt and its cash.

How does Guaranty utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Guaranty Bancshares, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Guaranty Bancshares is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Guaranty Bancshares cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Guaranty Bancshares Net Cash Flow from Operations is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Guaranty Bancshares reported Net Cash Flow from Operations of 43.54 Million in 2021

Guaranty Bancshares exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Guaranty Bancshares insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Guaranty insider trading alert for general transaction of common stock by Tyson Abston, Chairman and CEO, on 5th of August 2022. This event was filed by Guaranty Bancshares Inc with SEC on 2022-08-05. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Detailed Perspective On Guaranty Bancshares

The modest gains experienced by current holders of Guaranty Bancshares may raise some interest from investors. The stock closed today at a share price of 36.35 on 16,700 in trading volume. The company management teams have been quite successful in maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in June. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 1.53. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.

Returns Breakdown

Return on Assets0.0124
Return on Equity0.13
Return Capital0.0176
Return on Sales0.39

Our perspective of the current Guaranty Bancshares rise

The market risk adjusted performance is down to 0.14 as of today. Guaranty Bancshares has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.41 and kurtosis of 0.21. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Guaranty Bancshares to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guaranty Bancshares' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guaranty Bancshares' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Guaranty Bancshares Implied Volatility

Guaranty Bancshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Guaranty Bancshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Guaranty Bancshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Guaranty Bancshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Guaranty Bancshares' options are near their expiration.

Our Final Takeaway

While some other firms under the banks—regional industry are still a bit expensive, Guaranty Bancshares may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. Taking everything into account, as of the 17th of July 2022, we believe Guaranty Bancshares is currently undervalued. It follows the market closely and projects close to average probability of distress in the next two years. Our concluding 90 days buy-sell recommendation on the company is Strong Buy.

Editorial Staff

Vlad Skutelnik is a Macroaxis Contributor. Vlad covers stocks, funds, cryptocurrencies, and ETFs that are traded in North America, focusing primarily on fundamentals, valuation and market volatility. He has many years of experience in fintech, predictive investment analytics, and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Guaranty Bancshares. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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