Should I rely on Green Plains management in March 2022?

While many traders are getting carried away by overanalyzing basic materials space, it is reasonable to digest Green Plains. We will analyze why Green Plains investors may still consider a stake in the business. Is the firm valuation justified? Here we go over Green Plains perspective on valuation to give you a better outlook on taking a position in this stock.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

The company currently holds 781.2 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies.
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Green Plains has an asset utilization ratio of 130.35 percent. This indicates that the company is making $1.3 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Green Plains is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
We determine the current worth of Green Plains Renewable using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Green Plains Renewable based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Green Plains's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Green Plains's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Green Plains. We calculate exposure to Green Plains's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Green Plains's related companies.

Green Plains Renewable Investment Alerts

Green investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Green Plains Renewable performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Green

Green Plains Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Green value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Green Plains competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Green.

Green Plains Gross Profit

Green Plains Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Green Plains previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Green Plains Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Green Plains' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

A Deeper Perspective

Green Plains reported the previous year's revenue of 2.5 B. Net Loss for the year was (106.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 85.43 M.

Margins Breakdown

Green profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Green Plains itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Green Plains profit margins.
Operating Margin(6.25)
EBITDA Margin(0.0194)
Gross Margin0.046
Profit Margin(0.0526)
Green Plains Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is decreasing over the last 8 years. The previous year's value of Green Plains Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA was -37,798,082. Moreover, Green Plains Net Income Per Employee is rather stable at the moment.

Time to pull out from Green Plains is now

The standard deviation is down to 3.32 as of today. Green Plains exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.1 and kurtosis of -0.56. However, we advise investors to further study Green Plains technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Green Plains' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Green Plains' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Green Plains Implied Volatility

Green Plains' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Green Plains stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Green Plains' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Green Plains stock will not fluctuate a lot when Green Plains' options are near their expiration.

Our Conclusion on Green Plains

Although some other firms in the specialty chemicals industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Green Plains may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Green valuation and our trade advice on Green Plains is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Green Plains.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Green Plains Renewable. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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