Home Depot is getting crazy

As of March 22, 2019 the company is listed at 189.49. Home Depot has historical hype elasticity of -0.04. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.2. The entity is suggested to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 184.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on Home Depot stock price is about 433.33%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.02% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Home Depot is about 94.46% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 189.29. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 7 days. What is Home Depot Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Pertaining to normal probability distribution, the odds of Home Depot to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 10.39%. The The Home Depot probability density function shows the probability of Home Depot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, Home Depot has beta of 0.9294 . This indicates The Home Depot market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Home Depot is expected to follow. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Home Depot is significantly underperforming S&P 500.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

Home Depot has performance score of 11 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains Market Volatility (i.e. Beta) of 0.9294 which attests that Home Depot returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. as market goes up or down, Home Depot is expected to follow. Although it is extremely important to respect Home Depot current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Home Depot technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.1829% will be sustainable into the future. Home Depot right now retains a risk of 1.04%. Please check out Home Depot Coefficient Of Variation, Maximum Drawdown, Skewness, as well as the relationship between Total Risk Alpha and Downside Variance to decide if Home Depot will be following its current trending patterns.
The successful prediction of Home Depot stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Home Depot, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Home Depot based on Home Depot hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Home Depot's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Home Depot's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Home expected Price

Home Depot technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Home Depot technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Home Depot trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Home Depot Gross Profit

Home Depot Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Home Depot previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Home Depot Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Home Depot's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is Home Depot valued correctly by the market?

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with market capitalization of 205.83B. The modest gains experienced by current holders of The Home Depot may raise some interest from investors. The Stock closed today at a share price of 188.67 on 3006169 in trading volume. The company executives have been quite successful with maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in February. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.04. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Home Depot makes 22.28% return on asset. Home Depot is trading at 189.49. This is 0.25 percent down. Started trading at 189.49. Home Depot Total Debt USD is increasing over the last 5 years. Also, Home Depot Tangible Asset Value is increasing over the last 5 years. The previous year value of Home Depot Tangible Asset Value was 34,956,522,807.
 2013 2014 2015 2018 2019 (projected)
Home Depot Cost of Revenue 51,897,000,000  54,787,000,000  58,254,000,000  52,428,600,000  47,835,178,947 
Home Depot Consolidated Income 5,385,000,000  6,345,000,000  7,009,000,000  6,308,100,000  5,212,628,070 
To sum up, our up-to-date buy vs. sell advice on the firm is Strong Hold. Home Depot is currently overvalued with low chance of distress for the next two years.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Home Depot. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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