Heico Story

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<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#754DEB;color: #F0FFF0;font-size:3em;'>HEI</div>
HEI -- USA Stock  

USD 131.61  2.91  2.26%

Macroaxis News
By Ellen Johnson  
Macroaxis Story
Today we will concentrate on Heico. We will cover the possibilities of making Heico into a steady grower in January. On the 20th of December the company is traded for 131.57. Heico has historical hype elasticity of 1.12. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.24. The entity is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price going to jump to 132.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on Heico stock price is about 72.76%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.85%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Heico is about 333.82% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 131.81 Considering the 30-days investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Published over a month ago
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Will Heico continue to grow in January?
This firm's average rating is Hold from 9 analysts. Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Heico to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Heico. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon.
The successful prediction of Heico stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Heico, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Heico based on Heico hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Heico's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Heico's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Heico expected Price

Heico technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Overlap Analysis
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Forecast Models
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Price Shifting
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Volatility Indicators
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Value Movement
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A focus of Heico technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Heico trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions. It is good to see analyst projects for Heico, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Heico exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Heico insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Heico insider trading alert for general transaction of class a common stock by Alan Schriesheim, the corporate stakeholder, on 22nd of January 2021. This event was filed by Heico Corp with SEC on 2021-01-22. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

A Deeper look at Heico

The current rise in Heico short term price appreciation may raise some interest from stockholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 131.57 on 475,215 in trading volume. The company executives have successfully maneuvered the firm at convenient times to take advantage of all market conditions in November. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 2.27. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in November 2020 as well as with Heico unsystematic, company-specific events.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Heico Cost of Revenue is increasing over the last several years with slightly volatile swings. Cost of Revenue is predicted to flatten to about 1.2 B. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Heico Cost of Revenue is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Cost of Revenue was reported at 1.43 Billion
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2013734 Million
2014754.47 Million
2015860.77 Million
2016950.09 Million
20171.09 Billion
20181.24 Billion
20191.43 Billion
20201.2 Billion

Will Heico stockholders exit after the drop?

Heico current standard deviation boosts over 2.32. Heico currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.1. However, we do advice investors to further question Heico expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.

Our Conclusion on Heico

While some other firms in the aerospace & defense industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Heico may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. To summarize, as of the 20th of December 2020, our analysis shows that Heico responds to the market. The company is overvalued and projects very low odds of distress for the next 2 years. However, our concluding 30 days advice on the company is Strong Buy.

About Contributor

Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Heico. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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