Helen Story

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HELE -- USA Stock  

USD 207.11  5.29  2.62%

In general, we focus on analyzing Helen (NASDAQ:HELE) price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Helen Of Troy daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers. Today's article will digest Helen Of. We will evaluate why we are still confident in anticipation of a recovery.
Published over two weeks ago
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Do you have a personal attachment to Helen Of?
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e. Beta) of 0.4245, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Helen's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Helen Of returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Helen Of will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is extremely important to respect Helen Of Troy current price history, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current price movements. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By evaluating Helen Of Troy technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0019% will be sustainable into the future. Helen Of Troy right now retains a risk of 1.74%. Please check out Helen Of downside variance, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness to decide if Helen Of will be following its current trending patterns.
The successful prediction of Helen Of stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Helen Of Troy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Helen Of based on Helen Of hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Helen Of's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Helen Of's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Helen expected Price

Helen Of technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Helen Of technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Helen Of trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Helen utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Helen Of, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Helen Of is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Helen Of cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Helen Of Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 271.29 Million

Breaking it down a bit more

The latest indifference towards the small price fluctuations of Helen Of may raise some interest from shareholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 203.31 on slow start in trading volume. The company executives did not add any value to Helen Of Troy investors in September. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with Helen Of to hedge their inherited risk against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 1.74. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Helen Of Cost of Revenue is increasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Cost of Revenue is expected to dwindle to about 952.6 M. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Helen Of Cost of Revenue is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cost of Revenue was at 972.97 Million
2011
2013
2014
2015
2017
2018
2019
2020
2011770.05 Million
2013800.45 Million
2014845.57 Million
2015824.12 Million
2017867.65 Million
2018923.04 Million
2019972.97 Million
2020952.62 Million

Helen technical analysis indicates possible relapse

Latest Sortino Ratio is up to 0.02. Price may dip again. Helen Of Troy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.67 and kurtosis of 1.66. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Helen Of Troy to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns.

The Bottom Line

Although some other firms within the household & personal products industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Helen Of may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. To conclude, as of the 7th of October 2020, our up-to-date 30 days advice on the firm is Buy. We believe Helen Of is currently undervalued with very low probability of distress for the next two years.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Helen Of Troy. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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