Our latest technical analysis of Helen Of Troy (NASDAQ:HELE)

While some traders are getting carried away by overanalyzing consumer defensive space, it is reasonable to digest Helen Of Troy against current market trends. As we have suggested previously, Helen Of is beginning its dip as shareholders shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. Helen Of Troy moves indifferently to market moves. The returns on investing in Helen Of and the market returns of the last few months appear uncorrelated. Sound basic indicators of the firm may indicate signs of shorter-term price drift for shareholders. Helen Of Troy is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 13th of January 2021.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Helen Of Troy's average rating is Buy from 4 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Helen Of market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Helen. Let us look at a few aspects of Helen technical analysis. About 102.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Helen Of was currently reported as 48.25. Helen Of Troy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.78. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Helen Of had 2:1 split on the 23rd of September 1997.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Helen of Troy. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Helen Of stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Helen Of's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Helen Of's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Helen Of, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Helen Of price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Helen Of's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Helen Of. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Helen Of's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Helen Of's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Helen of Troy.

How important is Helen Of's Liquidity

Helen Of financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Helen of Troy ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Helen Of financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Helen Of's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Helen Of's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Helen Of's total debt and its cash.

Helen Of Gross Profit

Helen Of Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Helen Of previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Helen Of Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Helen Of's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Closer look at Helen Of Variance

Helen Of Troy has current Variance of 3.55. Variance is another measure of security risk that shows the amount of dispersion of equity returns around their mean value. Variance is calculated as the average squared deviations from the mean. Evaluating a set of investment alternatives one can use variance to help determine the volatility when purchasing a specific security. Similar to Standard Deviation, the variance is a measure of how far a set of numbers is spread out around its mean.
Variance is also a measure of stock volatility and can help determine the risk an investor might take on when purchasing a specific security. A relatively big variance indicates that the daily prices or returns are far from the mean and a small variance indicates that they are located around the mean.
Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
 = 
3.55
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N = Number of points for the period
Let's now compare Helen Of Variance to its closest peers:
HELE
CL
EL
ACU
CHD
HELE3.5546036428949215
CL0.83
EL6.65
ACU7.96
CHD2.47

A growth case for Helen Of

Latest Sortino Ratio is up to 0.01. Price may dip again. Helen Of Troy has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.69 and kurtosis of 1.4. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Helen Of Troy to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns.

Although few other entities in the household & personal products industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Helen Of may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. With a relatively neutral outlook on the latest economy, it is better to hold off any trading of Helen as the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Helen Of.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Helen of Troy. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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