Helen of Troy, a prominent player in the Consumer Defensive sector, is currently traded on the NASDAQ exchange. The company, with a market value of $115.98 billion, has been the subject of considerable hype, with a valuation hype value of $116.09 billion. However, the real value stands slightly higher at $119.73 billion, indicating potential for growth. Analysts have a consensus of 'Hold' on the stock, with three estimates aligning with this view. However, two analysts have given a 'Strong Buy' recommendation, suggesting some see significant upside. The estimated target price stands at $126.33, with the highest estimate reaching $143 and the lowest at $99. As we approach the fiscal year end in February, investors may want to consider whether Helen of Troy presents a compelling investment opportunity. Generally, our focus is on analyzing the price patterns of Helen of Troy (USA Stocks: HELE) and their correlations with various microeconomic environments and drivers. We also utilize predictive analytics to construct daily price indicators for Helen of Troy and compare them against related drivers. First, let's attempt to understand why Helen of Troy's investors are seeking stability in the face of unprecedented economic uncertainty.
The successful prediction of Helen Of
stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published
stock prices of traded companies, such as Helen of Troy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at
the intrinsic value of Helen Of based on Helen Of hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used
predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Helen Of's
market risk, different
technical and
fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then
comparing them to Helen Of's related companies.
Use Technical Analysis to project Helen expected Price
Helen Of technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Helen Of technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Helen Of trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions.
More Info...Helen Of Gross Profit
Helen Of Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Helen Of previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Helen Of Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Helen Of's
gross profit and other
fundamental indicators for more details.
An Additional Perspective On Helen of Troy
The latest indifference towards the small price fluctuations of Helen Of may raise some interest from shareholders. The stock closed today at a share price of
115.98 on very low momentum in trading volume. The company executives did not add any value to Helen Of Troy investors in
December. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with Helen Of to hedge their inherited risk against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 2.38. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in
December 2023 as well as with Helen Of Troy unsystematic, company-specific events.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) |
Cost of Revenue | 1.3B | 1.2B | 973.0M | 1.1B | Consolidated Income | 223.8M | 143.3M | 152.3M | 162.3M |
Cost of Revenue Breakdown
Helen Of Cost of Revenue is increasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Ongoing Cost of Revenue is projected to grow to about 1.1
B this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Where this item is not contained on the company consolidated financial statements and cannot otherwise be imputed the value of 0 is used. At present, Helen Of's Cost of Revenue is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.
| 2015 | 824.12 Million |
| 2017 | 867.65 Million |
| 2018 | 923.04 Million |
| 2019 | 1.17 Billion |
| 2021 | 1.27 Billion |
| 2022 | 1.17 Billion |
| 2023 | 972.97 Million |
| 2024 | 1.06 Billion |
Every cloud has a silver lining, and for investors, Helen of Troy Stock might just be that glimmer of hope. With a robust market capitalization of $2.75B and a potential upside of 4.46, the company presents a compelling investment opportunity. Despite a downside variance of 6.68 and a probability of bankruptcy standing at 20.61%, the company's
financial health remains solid with a net asset of $2.91B and retained earnings of $1.16B. The company's earnings per share stand at a promising 5.73X, indicating strong profitability. However, investors should also consider the risk factors, such as a Jensen Alpha of -0.32 and a downside deviation of 2.58. Overall, Helen of Troy Stock offers a mix of potential returns and risks, and as always, prudent investors should conduct thorough due diligence before making a decision.
Helen Of has 75 percent chance to dip way below $114 in February
Helen of Troy Limited (NASDAQ: HELE), a leading global consumer products company, has exhibited a notable decrease in variance, down to 6.4 as of today. This decrease in volatility suggests a more stable trading environment, but it may also signal a potential downward trend. According to our predictive models and market analysis, there is a 75 percent probability that Helen of Troy's stock price will fall significantly below $114 in February. This potential decline could be attributed to various factors such as market volatility, earnings reports, or broader economic indicators. Investors should closely monitor the stock and consider their risk tolerance and investment strategy. Currently, Helen of Troy demonstrates a below-average downside deviation. It has an Information Ratio of -0.05 and a Jensen Alpha of -0.32. However, we advise investors to further scrutinize Helen of Troy's expected returns to ensure all indicators align with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
Understanding different
market volatility trends often assists investors in timing the market. The appropriate use of volatility indicators allows traders to measure Helen of Troy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The increased level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly impact Helen of Troy's stock price, adding stress to investors as they watch the value of their shares decrease. This often compels investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices fall. In light of today's performance, Helen of Troy's stock valuation stands at a market value of
$115.98, marginally below its real value of
$119.73. The consensus amongst the three analysts covering the stock is to hold, with target prices ranging from $99 to a high of $143, and an estimated average target price of $126.333. The stock's current valuation is slightly inflated by hype, standing at $116.09, indicating some caution may be warranted. However, with the fiscal year end approaching in February and two strong buy recommendations, investors might want to keep an eye on this stock for potential growth opportunities. .
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Aina Ster is a Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board. Aina delivers weekly perspective on ongoing market and economic trends, analysis and tips from predictive analysis to forecasting across various financial instruments.
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