Do you have a personal attachment to Houlihan Lokey?

A current spike in volatility has left many stockholders looking confused. In this story, we will concentrate on Houlihan Lokey. We will evaluate why recent Houlihan Lokey price moves suggest a bounce in August. On the 28th of July the company is traded for 56.03. Houlihan Lokey has historical hype elasticity of 0.02. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.06. The entity is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price going to jump to 56.05. The current volatility of media hype impact on Houlihan Lokey stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Houlihan Lokey is about 208.25% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 55.97 Considering the 30-days investment horizon, the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

This firm's average rating is Hold from 5 analysts. Our investment recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendations that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Houlihan Lokey. Our investment recommendation engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. The company has Net Profit Margin of 15.86 %, which may imply that it executes well on its competitive polices and has reasonable control over its expenses and variable costs. This is very large.
The successful prediction of Houlihan Lokey stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Houlihan Lokey, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Houlihan Lokey based on Houlihan Lokey hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Houlihan Lokey's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Houlihan Lokey's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Houlihan expected Price

Houlihan Lokey technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Houlihan Lokey technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Houlihan Lokey trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Houlihan Lokey Gross Profit

Houlihan Lokey Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Houlihan Lokey previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Houlihan Lokey Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Houlihan Lokey's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

An Additional Perspective On Houlihan Lokey

The small decline in market price for the last few months may raise some interest from stockholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 55.54 on very low momentum in trading volume. The company executives did not add much value to Houlihan Lokey investors in June. However, diversifying your holdings with Houlihan Lokey or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 1.97. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Receivables77.26 M70.83 M80.91 M70.01 M
Inventories45.86 M71.89 M39.82 M41.86 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Houlihan Lokey Deferred Revenue is increasing over the last several years with slightly volatile swings. Deferred Revenue is estimated to finish at about 28.9 M this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Houlihan Lokey Deferred Revenue is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Deferred Revenue was reported at 26.78 Million
2010
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
20105.38 Million
20143.06 Million
20155.55 Million
20163.72 Million
20173.62 Million
201827.81 Million
201926.78 Million
202028.89 Million

Houlihan Lokey has 93 percent chance to finish above $55 in August

The semi variance is down to 5.2 as of today. Houlihan Lokey currently demonstrates below-verage downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.07 and Jensen Alpha of -0.09. However, we do advice investors to further question Houlihan Lokey expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.

Our Conclusion on Houlihan Lokey

While many other companies in the capital markets industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Houlihan may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. With a somewhat neutral outlook on your 30 days horizon, it may be better to hold off any trading activity and neither buy new shares of Houlihan nor exit your existing holdings in the Stock. It seems the expected volatility has not yet been fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Houlihan Lokey.

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Editorial Staff

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