Should you pay attention to changing Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG) fundamentals?

Hallador Energy Enterprise Value is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Enterprise Value was at 243.54 Million. The current year Free Cash Flow is expected to grow to about 5.9 M, whereas Average Assets are forecasted to decline to about 472.5 M. There are many examples of prices depinning after a drastic change in one of the basic indicators. In this short article, we will digest a few of Hallador Energy's essential fundamentals. We will analyze why Hallador Energy investors may still consider a stake in the business. Hallador Energy probability of distress is over 52 percent. Will shareholders continue to be optimistic, or should we expect a sell-off in September?
Published over a year ago
View all stories for Hallador Energy | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Hallador Energy holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0113, which attests that the entity had -0.0113% of return per unit of risk over the last month. Macroaxis standpoint towards determining the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Hallador Energy exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check out Hallador Energy market risk adjusted performance of 9.46, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.033775) to validate the risk estimate we provide.
Typically, a company's financial statements are the reports that show the financial position of the company. There are three main documents that fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Hallador Energy income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows. Potential Hallador Energy investors and stakeholders use financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned to perform in the future. Although Hallador Energy investors may use each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Hallador Energy's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Hallador Energy's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet, but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The goal of Hallador Energy fundamental analysis is to do accurate financial forecasts. There are several possible objectives to fundamental analysis, such as projecting of Hallador Energy performance into the future periods or doing a reasonable stock valuation. The intrinsic value of Hallador Energy shares is the value that is considered the true value of the share. If the intrinsic value of Hallador is higher than its market price, buying is generally recommended. If it is equal to the market price, it is recommended to hold; and if it is less than the market price, then one should sell all shares Hallador Energy. Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

How important is Hallador Energy's Liquidity

Hallador Energy financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Hallador Energy ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Hallador Energy financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Hallador Energy's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Hallador Energy's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Hallador Energy's total debt and its cash.

A Deeper Perspective

Although in the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission has enforced strong rules to prevent insiders from engaging in insider trading, finding insiders among active shareholders of Hallador Energy is not uncomon. There are few distinct groups of Hallador Energy stakehholders that the SEC considers insiders. Investors usually gain information through their work as corporate directors, officers, or employees. If these individuals share the information with a friend, family, or business partner and the person who receives the information exchanges stock in the company, he or shie is also an insider. Let's take a look at how the ownership of Hallador is distributed among investors.

Ownership Allocation

Hallador Energy secures a total of 30.46 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Hallador Energy outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These outside corporations are typically referred to corporate investors that purchase positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Consequently, these institutions are subject to different rules and regulation than regular investors in Hallador Energy. Please watch out for any change in the institutional holdings of Hallador Energy as this could mean something significant has changed or about to change at the company. Remember, it does not matter who owns the company or if the company is currently losing money. If the true value of the company is more than the market pays for it currently, you can still have a good investment opportunity.
Retail Investors
31.55%
Insiders
12.6%
Institutions
55.85%
Retail Investors31.55
Insiders12.6
Institutions55.85

Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Hallador Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 54.43 percent. This indicates that the company is making $0.54 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Hallador Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Assets Non Current
366.6 M
Current Assets77.57 Million17.37
Assets Non Current366.62 Million82.1
Tax Assets2.35 Million0.53

A growth case for Hallador Energy

The jensen alpha is down to -0.17 as of today. As of the 2nd of August, Hallador Energy retains the risk adjusted performance of (0.033775), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 9.46. Hallador Energy technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Hallador Energy, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Hallador Energy jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and skewness to decide if Hallador Energy is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 0.63 per share. As Hallador Energy is a penny stock we also advise to confirm its total risk alpha numbers.

The Current Takeaway on Hallador Energy Investment

Although some other firms in the thermal coal industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Hallador Energy may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Hallador valuation and our trade advice on Hallador Energy is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Hallador Energy.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Hallador Energy. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com