Hallador Story

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HNRG -- USA Stock  

USD 2.02  0.07  3.35%

Hallador Energy Enterprise Value is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Enterprise Value was at 280.07 Million. The current year Free Cash Flow is expected to grow to about 6.8 M, whereas Average Assets are forecasted to decline to about 523.7 M. Today's short post will digest Hallador Energy as your potential position. We will discuss the question of why shareholders should continue to be confident in Hallador Energy outlook.
Published over a month ago
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Our latest forecast of Hallador (NASDAQ:HNRG)
Hallador Energy is UNDERVALUED at 2.25 per share with modest projections ahead. About 13.0% of Hallador Energy shares are held by company insiders. Insiders ownership of Hallador Energy refers to the amount of Hallador Energy equity owned by Hallador officers, directors, relatives of the leadership team, or anyone who has access to private information before it's made available to the public. Check out our latest analysis of Hallador, including its current ownership diagnostics.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hallador Energy. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Hallador Energy

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hallador Energy's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Hallador Energy in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hallador Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hallador Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hallador Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Hallador Energy.

How important is Hallador Energy's Liquidity

Hallador Energy financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Hallador Energy ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Hallador Energy financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Hallador Energy's total debt and its cash.

How Hallador utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Hallador Energy, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Hallador Energy is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Hallador Energy cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Hallador Energy Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 52.58 Million

A Deeper Perspective

The latest price surge of Hallador Energy may raise some interest from shareholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 1.68 on very low momentum in trading volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in April. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 6.88. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Hallador Energy partners.

Margin Breakdown

Operating Margin(24.16)
EBITDA Margin(0.0508)
Gross Margin0.26
Profit Margin(0.17)

Another 3 percent surge for Hallador Energy

Latest standard deviation is at 6.86.
As of the 7th of March, Hallador Energy retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.486, downside deviation of 5.81, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1285. Hallador Energy technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Hallador Energy, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Hallador Energy jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and skewness to decide if Hallador Energy is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 1.68 per share. Please also validate Hallador Energy total risk alpha, which is currently at 0.2847 to confirm the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Takeaway on Hallador Energy Investment

Although some other entities under the thermal coal industry are still a bit expensive, Hallador Energy may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. On the whole, as of the 7th of March 2021, our research shows that Hallador Energy is a rather dangerous investment opportunity with a below average probability of distress in the next two years. From a slightly different view, the entity currently appears to be undervalued. Our primary 30 days recommendation on the firm is Strong Hold.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Hallador Energy. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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