Hallador Story

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HNRG -- USA Stock  

USD 2.02  0.07  3.35%

Let's try to digest what's happening with Hallador Energy amid unprecedented political, and economic uncertainty. Hallador Energy is currently traded for 1.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.2. The firm is projected to increase in value after the next press release, with the price going to jump to 1.9. The latest volatility of headline impact on the company stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 10.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.95%. Given the investment horizon of 30 days the next projected announcement will be in about 4 days.
Published over a month ago
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Should I hold on to my Hallador Energy (NASDAQ:HNRG) position?
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Hallador Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 47.3 percent. This indicates that the company is making $0.47 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Hallador Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (23.97) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (27.16) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.27.
The successful prediction of Hallador Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hallador Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hallador Energy based on Hallador Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hallador Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hallador Energy's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Hallador expected Price

Hallador Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Hallador Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Hallador Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Hallador utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Hallador Energy, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Hallador Energy is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Hallador Energy cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Hallador Energy Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 52.58 Million

A Deeper Perspective

The latest price surge of Hallador Energy may raise some interest from shareholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 1.72 on 190,960 in trading volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in April. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 6.88. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Hallador Energy partners.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Interest Expense16.29 M16 M18.4 M14.89 M
Gross Profit78.19 M75.6 M86.94 M89.52 M

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Hallador Energy Cost of Revenue is increasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Cost of Revenue is expected to dwindle to about 241.3 M. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Hallador Energy Cost of Revenue is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cost of Revenue was at 285.05 Million
2014169.69 Million
2015237.9 Million
2016192.78 Million
2017190.15 Million
2018215.36 Million
2019247.87 Million
2020285.05 Million
2021241.34 Million

Our take on today Hallador Energy surge

Latest jensen alpha is at 0.83. Hallador Energy is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Hallador Energy independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Hallador Energy volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hallador Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hallador Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Although many of the other players under the thermal coal industry are still a bit expensive, Hallador Energy may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. To conclude, as of the 8th of March 2021, we see that Hallador Energy hyperactively responds to market trends. The firm is undervalued with below average odds of financial turmoil within the next 24 months. Our present 30 days advice on the firm is Strong Hold.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Hallador Energy. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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