At Home Story

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HOME -- USA Stock  

USD 24.75  2.29  10.20%

The underlying objective of this short story is to digest At Home as an investment oportunity for January. We will discuss why recent At Home price moves suggest a bounce in January.
Published over a month ago
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Our latest forecast of At Home (NYSE:HOME)
At Home is OVERVALUED at 16.55 per share with modest projections ahead. Over 84.0% of At Home shares are owned by institutional investors. Institutional ownership of At Home Group refers to the amount of At Home Group equity owned by mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies, investment firms, foundations, or other large entities that manage money on behalf of others. Check out our latest analysis of At Home, including its current ownership diagnostics.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as At Home Group. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for At Home

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of At Home's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of At Home in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as At Home. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against At Home's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, At Home's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in At Home Group.

How important is At Home's Liquidity

At Home financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance At Home Group ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. At Home financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between At Home's total debt and its cash.

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions. It is good to see analyst projects for At Home, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

A Deeper look at At Home

The latest bullish price patterns experienced by current At Home Group shareholders may raise some interest from shareholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 18.41 on 3,188,584 in trading volume. The company directors and management have been very successful in rebalancing the firm assets at opportune times to take advantage of market volatility in November. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 5.58. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the At Home Group partners.

Margin Breakdown

Operating Margin(1.94)
EBITDA Margin0.0653
Gross Margin0.32
Profit Margin(0.0832)

Another setback for At Home shareholders

At Home latest potential upside ascents over 7.74. At Home Group is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize At Home Group independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about At Home volatility.

Our Takeaway on At Home Investment

Although other entities in the specialty retail industry are either recovering or due for a correction, At Home may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. To summarize, as of the 1st of December 2020, our research shows that At Home is a rather somewhat reliable investment opportunity with a below average probability of distress in the next two years. From a slightly different view, the entity currently appears to be overvalued. Our primary 30 days Buy-Hold-Sell recommendation on the firm is Sell.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of At Home Group. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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