Thinking to acquire more of Heartland Express (NASDAQ:HTLD)?

Let's try to digest what's happening with Heartland Express amid unprecedented political, and economic uncertainty. Heartland Express is currently traded for 19.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.56. The firm is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.12 percent. The volatility of related hype on Heartland Express is about 30.46% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 19.05 Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e. Beta) of 0.2785, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Heartland's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Heartland Express returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Heartland Express will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Heartland Express current price history, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current price movements. Our philosophy in determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Heartland Express exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Heartland Express has an expected return of -0.12%. Please be advised to check out Heartland Express value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall to decide if Heartland Express stock performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
The successful prediction of Heartland Express stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Heartland Express, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Heartland Express based on Heartland Express hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Heartland Express's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Heartland Express's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Heartland expected Price

Heartland Express technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Heartland Express technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Heartland Express trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Heartland Express Gross Profit

Heartland Express Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Heartland Express previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Heartland Express Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Heartland Express' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

An Additional Perspective On Heartland Express

This firm reported the previous year's revenue of 642.32 M. Net Income was 65.71 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 217.39 M.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Heartland Express Cost of Revenue is decreasing over the years with stable fluctuation. Ongoing Cost of Revenue is projected to grow to about 146.5 M this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Heartland Express Cost of Revenue is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Cost of Revenue was at 134.33 Million
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2013207.47 Million
2014310.26 Million
2015192.23 Million
2016141.14 Million
2017163.99 Million
2018156.38 Million
2019134.33 Million
2020146.49 Million

Will Heartland Express latest dip continue?

The skewness is down to -0.9 as of today. Heartland Express exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.9 and kurtosis of 3.1. However, we advise investors to further study Heartland Express technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.

Our Conclusion on Heartland Express

Although other entities in the trucking industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Heartland Express may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. To conclude, as of the 17th of October 2020, our analysis shows that Heartland Express slowly supersedes the market. The firm is undervalued and projects below average probability of financial unrest for the next 2 years. Our latest 30 days recommendation on the firm is Strong Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Heartland Express. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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