Ichor Story

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Raphi Shpitalnik Story
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ICHR -- USA Stock  

USD 57.30  1.52  2.58%

Macroaxis News
By Raphi Shpitalnik  
Macroaxis Story
Let's try to sum up what's happening with Ichor Holdings amid unprecedented political, and economic uncertainty. Ichor Holdings is currently traded for 51.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.94. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.63. The firm is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price going to jump to 52.56. The latest volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 1.82%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.95%. The volatility of related hype on Ichor Holdings is about 726.86% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 50.99 Given the investment horizon of 30 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Published over three weeks ago
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Should I exit my Ichor Holdings (NASDAQ:ICHR) holdings?
This firm's average rating is Buy from 7 analysts.
Our trade recommendations tool can be used to complement Ichor Holdings advice provided by experts. It analyzes the entity's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 3.64 %, which can signify that it executes well on its competitive strategies and has good control over its expenditures. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 7.64 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.08.
The successful prediction of Ichor Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ichor Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ichor Holdings based on Ichor Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ichor Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ichor Holdings's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Ichor expected Price

Ichor Holdings technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Overlap Analysis
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Forecast Models
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Price Shifting
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Volatility Indicators
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Value Movement
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A focus of Ichor Holdings technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ichor Holdings trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Ichor utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Ichor Holdings, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Ichor Holdings is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Ichor Holdings cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Ichor Holdings Net Cash Flow from Operations is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Ichor Holdings reported last year Net Cash Flow from Operations of 27.73 Million

What is the case for Ichor Holdings Investors

The latest price spike of Ichor Holdings may raise some interest from retail investors. The stock closed today at a share price of 51.62 on very low momentum in trading volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in April. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 4.79. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not so good earnings reports for some of the Ichor Holdings partners.

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Ichor Holdings Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue is likely to grow to about 457.2 M this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Ichor Holdings Cost of Revenue is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Ichor Holdings reported last year Cost of Revenue of 340.35 Million
2010
2015
2020
2021
2010242.09 Million
2015789.34 Million
2020340.35 Million
2021457.16 Million

Ichor Holdings implied volatility may change after the spike

The downside deviation is down to 4.63 as of today. Ichor Holdings shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Ichor Holdings further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Ichor Holdings future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ichor Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ichor Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Final Takeaway

While many other companies under the semiconductor equipment & materials industry are still a bit expensive, Ichor Holdings may offer a potential longer-term growth to retail investors. While some retail investors may not share our view we believe that the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Ichor Holdings.

About Contributor

Raphi Shpitalnik is a Junior Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Raphael is a young entrepreneur who joined Macroaxis on a part-time base at the beginning of the pandemic and eventually acquired a real test for investing and fintech. He likes to analyze different equity instruments across a wide range of industries, focusing primarily on consumer products, sports, fintech, cannabis, and AI. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Ichor Holdings. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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