Imedia Story

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IMBI -- USA Stock  

USD 5.65  0.34  5.68%

In this post we will concentrate on Imedia Brands. We will evaluate if Imedia Brands shares are reasonably priced going into September. Imedia Brands is currently traded for 5.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.66. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.13. The firm is forecasted to decline in value after the next press release, with the price expected to drop to 4.37. The average volatility of headline impact on the company stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -13.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.82 percent. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next forecasted announcement will be in about 4 days.
Published over a month ago
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Will Imedia Brands continue to grow in September?
The company's average rating is Strong Buy from 2 analysts. We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Imedia Brands. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time.
The successful prediction of Imedia Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Imedia Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Imedia Brands based on Imedia Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Imedia Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Imedia Brands's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Imedia expected Price

Imedia Brands technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Imedia Brands technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Imedia Brands trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Imedia utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Imedia Brands, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Imedia Brands is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Imedia Brands cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Imedia Brands Net Cash Flow from Operations is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Net Cash Flow from Operations was reported at (6.16 Million)

Exercise of in-the-money or at-the-money derivative position by Eyal Lalo of 41024 shares of Imedia Brands

Legal trades by Imedia Brands insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Imedia insider trading alert for exercise of warrants (right to buy) by Eyal Lalo, the corporate stakeholder, on 16th of September 2020. This event was filed by Imedia Brands Inc with SEC on 2020-09-16. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Breaking down the case for Imedia Brands

The current price rise of Imedia Brands may raise some interest from stockholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 5.06 on 237,130 in trading volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in September. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 7.36. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Imedia Brands partners.

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Imedia Brands Deferred Revenue is decreasing over the last several years with slightly volatile swings. Deferred Revenue is estimated to finish at about 250 K this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Imedia Brands Deferred Revenue is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Deferred Revenue was reported at 141,000

Our take on today Imedia Brands rise

The information ratio is down to 0.22 as of today. Imedia Brands is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Imedia Brands independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Imedia Brands volatility.

Our Takeaway on Imedia Brands Investment

While some companies under the internet retail industry are still a bit expensive, Imedia Brands may offer a potential longer-term growth to stockholders. While some stockholders may not share our view we believe that the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Imedia Brands.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Imedia Brands. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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