Will InTest (USA Stocks:INTT) continue to drop in April?

As many baby boomers are indifferent towards semiconductors & semiconductor equipment space, it makes sense to review InTest against current market trends. As we have suggested previously, InTest is beginning its drop as private investors shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. Large number of the gravitations of the company stock price movements has been a demonstration of what is happening in the market overall. Stable basic indicators of the firm may also call for signals of mid-term gains for InTest private investors. InTest is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next financial report is expected on the 5th of May 2023.
Published over a year ago
View all stories for InTest | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

This firm's average rating is Strong Buy from 1 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on InTest market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of InTest. Let us look at a few aspects of InTest technical analysis. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.08 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.0.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of inTest. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing InTest stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build InTest's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of InTest's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for InTest, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect InTest price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of InTest's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

How important is InTest's Liquidity

InTest financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance inTest ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. InTest financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to InTest's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of InTest's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between InTest's total debt and its cash.

InTest Gross Profit

InTest Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing InTest previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show InTest Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check InTest's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Closer look at InTest Downside Variance

InTest has current Downside Variance of 7.57. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.
Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.
Downside Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ER) 
 = 
7.57
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period
Let's now compare InTest Downside Variance to its closest peers:
INTT
AAOI
AIP
ALGM
CEVA
INTT7.568691059501798
AAOI15.61
AIP24.17
ALGM5.77
CEVA5.74

Will InTest private investors exit after the drop?

Newest value at risk is at -4.87. InTest currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.18 and Jensen Alpha of 0.58. However, we advise investors to further question InTest expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure InTest's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact InTest's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Conclusion on InTest

Whereas some firms in the semiconductor equipment & materials industry are either recovering or due for a correction, InTest may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. The bottom line, as of the 3rd of March 2023, our analysis shows that InTest responds to the market. The firm is undervalued and projects low probability of financial unrest for the next 2 years. Our primary 90 days buy vs. sell advice on the firm is Strong Buy.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of inTest. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com