Should I trade my IPG Photonics (NASDAQ:IPGP) holdings?

In general, we focus on analyzing IPG Photonics (NASDAQ:IPGP) price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build IPG Photonics daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers. My story will recap IPG Photonics. We will evaluate why we are still confident in anticipation of a recovery.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

This firm's average rating is Buy from 9 analysts. Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on IPG Photonics to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on IPG Photonics. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. Earning per share calculations of IPG Photonics is based on official Zacks consensus of 4 analysts regarding IPG Photonics' future annual earnings. Given the historical accuracy of 94.37%, the future earnings per share of the company is estimated to be 3.425 with the lowest and highest values of 3.01 and 3.58, respectively. Please note that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for the firm is an estimate of EPS before non-recurring items and including employee stock options expenses.
The successful prediction of IPG Photonics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as IPG Photonics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IPG Photonics based on IPG Photonics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to IPG Photonics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IPG Photonics's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project IPG expected Price

IPG Photonics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of IPG Photonics technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of IPG Photonics trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

IPG Photonics Gross Profit

IPG Photonics Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing IPG Photonics previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show IPG Photonics Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check IPG Photonics' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

What is driving IPG Photonics Investor Appetite?

The recent price roll up of IPG Photonics may raise some interest from insiders. The stock closed today at a share price of 256.49 on 317,471 in trading volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in March. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 1.89. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Receivables255.51 M238.48 M214.63 M176.64 M
Inventories403.58 M380.79 M342.71 M273.33 M

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

IPG Photonics Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be very stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue is likely to drop to about 668 M. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. IPG Photonics Cost of Revenue is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. IPG Photonics reported last year Cost of Revenue of 814.63 Million
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2014353.31 Million
2015409.39 Million
2016453.93 Million
2017611.98 Million
2018659.61 Million
2019708.37 Million
2020814.63 Million
2021668 Million

Will IPG Photonics pull back in March 2021?

The downside variance is down to 3.56 as of today. As of the 16th of February 2021, IPG Photonics retains the Semi Deviation of 1.65, market risk adjusted performance of 0.7194, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1382. IPG Photonics technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for IPG Photonics, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out IPG Photonics information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis to decide if IPG Photonics is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 256.49 per share. Given that IPG Photonics has jensen alpha of 0.2926, we strongly advise you to confirm IPG Photonics's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself in the future.

Our Conclusion on IPG Photonics

Although some firms within the semiconductor equipment & materials industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, IPG Photonics may offer a potential longer-term growth to insiders. To conclude, as of the 16th of February 2021, our analysis shows that IPG Photonics slowly supersedes the market. The firm is fairly valued and projects below average probability of financial unrest for the next 2 years. Our actual 30 days buy-hold-sell advice on the firm is Strong Buy.

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Editorial Staff

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