J Jill Stock Story

JILL
 Stock
  

USD 16.91  0.39  2.25%   

In general, we focus on analyzing J Jill (NYSE:JILL) price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build J Jill Inc daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers. Let's try to summarize what's happening with J Jill amid unprecedented political, and economic uncertainty.
Published over two months ago
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Is J Jill (NYSE:JILL) gaining more confidence from stakeholders?

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. J Jill has an asset utilization ratio of 115.09 percent. This denotes that the company is making $1.15 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that J Jill Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (4.81) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 10.03 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.1.
The successful prediction of J Jill stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as J Jill Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of J Jill based on J Jill hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to J Jill's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to J Jill's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project J Jill expected Price

J Jill technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of J Jill technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of J Jill trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How does J Jill utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of J Jill, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash J Jill is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The J Jill cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
J Jill Net Cash Flow from Operations is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Net Cash Flow from Operations is estimated at 21.15 Million

An Additional Perspective On J Jill Inc

The new hike in J Jill Inc short term price appreciation may raise some interest from stakeholders. The stock closed today at a share price of 18.03 on 65,900 in trading volume. The company directors and management have successfully maneuvered the entity at convenient times to take advantage of all market conditions in May. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.05. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from J Jill Inc partners.
 2010 2020 2022 (projected)
Interest Expense19.57 M19.09 M19.64 M
Gross Profit428.58 M394.44 M336.88 M

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

J Jill Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue may rise above about 195.7 M this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. J Jill Cost of Revenue is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Cost of Revenue is estimated at 195.72 Million
2010
2020
2022
2010262.77 Million
2020190.77 Million
2022195.72 Million

Our take on J Jill small pull down

J Jill new jensen alpha upsurges over 0.34. J Jill Inc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect J Jill Inc further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of J Jill future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure J Jill's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact J Jill's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

J Jill Implied Volatility

J Jill's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of J Jill Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if J Jill's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that J Jill stock will not fluctuate a lot when J Jill's options are near their expiration.

Our Final Takeaway

While some firms in the apparel retail industry are either recovering or due for a correction, J Jill may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. In closing, as of the 8th of June 2022, we believe J Jill is currently overvalued. It follows the market closely and projects below average probability of distress in the next two years. However, our primary 90 days Buy-Hold-Sell recommendation on the company is Buy.

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of J Jill Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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