Will KB Home (NYSE:KBH) current volatility spike continue?

KB Home is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.1753% on return distribution over 60 days investment horizon. While some risk-loving traders are indifferent towards current market volatility, it is reasonable to concentrate on the risk of investing in KB Home. We will evaluate if KB Home's current volatility will continue into February.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

KB Home has 1.78 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.69, which is OK given its current industry classification. The entity has a current ratio of 6.16, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of KB Home or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of KB Home may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to KBH's beta indicator, it measures the risk of KB Home and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of KB Home fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is KB Home's Liquidity

KB Home financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance KB Home ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. KB Home financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to KB Home's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of KB Home's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between KB Home's total debt and its cash.

KB Home Gross Profit

KB Home Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing KB Home previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show KB Home Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check KB Home's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

KB Home Volatility Drivers

KB Home unsystematic risk is unique to KB Home and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in KB Home you can also buy Toll Brothers. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the consumer discretionary sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing KB Home important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in KB Home income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about KBH volatility.
0.440.80.52-0.470.930.410.550.65-0.82-0.82-0.5-0.63-0.04-0.040.50.71-0.31-0.63-0.12-0.20.77
0.440.810.70.210.17-0.260.210.0-0.62-0.620.2-0.670.110.060.150.12-0.13-0.750.050.640.27
0.80.810.85-0.120.570.120.290.28-0.78-0.78-0.11-0.850.080.060.370.36-0.18-0.770.20.370.6
0.520.70.850.090.320.040.040.08-0.46-0.460.11-0.910.29-0.020.180.10.12-0.70.450.580.51
-0.470.21-0.120.09-0.61-0.82-0.65-0.60.220.220.620.120.190.15-0.02-0.790.160.020.10.58-0.61
0.930.170.570.32-0.610.540.570.84-0.67-0.67-0.71-0.45-0.09-0.060.360.78-0.3-0.47-0.25-0.440.77
0.41-0.260.120.04-0.820.540.560.56-0.15-0.15-0.58-0.1-0.03-0.090.260.7-0.150.190.18-0.520.45
0.550.210.290.04-0.650.570.560.56-0.49-0.49-0.34-0.2-0.24-0.230.250.92-0.34-0.29-0.39-0.440.53
0.650.00.280.08-0.60.840.560.56-0.42-0.42-0.76-0.220.02-0.120.170.73-0.21-0.23-0.3-0.50.51
-0.82-0.62-0.78-0.460.22-0.67-0.15-0.49-0.421.00.460.510.05-0.01-0.25-0.550.470.660.310.11-0.57
-0.82-0.62-0.78-0.460.22-0.67-0.15-0.49-0.421.00.460.510.05-0.01-0.25-0.550.470.660.310.11-0.57
-0.50.2-0.110.110.62-0.71-0.58-0.34-0.760.460.46-0.040.1-0.040.14-0.570.390.010.390.7-0.42
-0.63-0.67-0.85-0.910.12-0.45-0.1-0.2-0.220.510.51-0.04-0.270.27-0.19-0.32-0.260.82-0.36-0.49-0.7
-0.040.110.080.290.19-0.09-0.03-0.240.020.050.050.1-0.27-0.330.05-0.150.480.030.460.270.01
-0.040.060.06-0.020.15-0.06-0.09-0.23-0.12-0.01-0.01-0.040.27-0.330.05-0.24-0.750.10.020.03-0.15
0.50.150.370.18-0.020.360.260.250.17-0.25-0.250.14-0.190.050.050.26-0.13-0.030.26-0.030.14
0.710.120.360.1-0.790.780.70.920.73-0.55-0.55-0.57-0.32-0.15-0.240.26-0.28-0.35-0.31-0.530.73
-0.31-0.13-0.180.120.16-0.3-0.15-0.34-0.210.470.470.39-0.260.48-0.75-0.13-0.280.040.430.39-0.08
-0.63-0.75-0.77-0.70.02-0.470.19-0.29-0.230.660.660.010.820.030.1-0.03-0.350.040.16-0.36-0.7
-0.120.050.20.450.1-0.250.18-0.39-0.30.310.310.39-0.360.460.020.26-0.310.430.160.54-0.05
-0.20.640.370.580.58-0.44-0.52-0.44-0.50.110.110.7-0.490.270.03-0.03-0.530.39-0.360.54-0.17
0.770.270.60.51-0.610.770.450.530.51-0.57-0.57-0.42-0.70.01-0.150.140.73-0.08-0.7-0.05-0.17
Click cells to compare fundamentals

Breaking down KB Home Further

The firm reported the last year's revenue of 4.55 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 311.59 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 869.01 M.

Another 3 percent drop for KB Home

The skewness is down to -0.12 as of today. As of the 11th of January 2021, KB Home owns the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.53), mean deviation of 2.41, and Standard Deviation of 3.17. KB Home technical analysis lets you operate past data patterns with an objective to determine a pattern that forecasts the direction of the entity's future prices. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the entity will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for KB Home, which can be compared to its peers in the sector. Please verify KB Home downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if KB Home is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its prevailing price of 33.04 per share. Given that KB Home has jensen alpha of (0.24), we recommend you to check KB Home's latest market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself sooner or later.

Our Takeaway on KB Home Investment

While many other companies in the residential construction industry are either recovering or due for a correction, KB Home may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. While some stockholders may not share our view we believe that the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to KB Home.

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Editorial Staff

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