Is Kansas City (NYSE:KSU) ready for a correction?

As many investors are getting excited about industrials space, it is fair to review Kansas City Southern. We will check why this entity may not get much respect from private investors given the current market uncertainty. Is the entity current valuation justified for 2021? Here i will cover my perspective on valuation to give Kansas private investors a better outlook on taking a position in the stock.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

Kansas City Southern has 3.84 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.88, which is OK given its current industry classification. Kansas City is OVERVALUED at 213.52 per share with modest projections ahead.

Kansas City Southern Investment Alerts

Kansas investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Kansas City Southern performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Kansas

Kansas City Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Kansas value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Kansas City competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Kansas.

Another Deeper Perspective

The newest gain in Kansas City Southern short term price appreciation may raise some interest from private investors. The stock closed today at a share price of 257.51 on 1,187,056 in trading volume. The company directors and management have successfully maneuvered the firm at convenient times to take advantage of all market conditions in March. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 2.25. The current volatility is consistent with the ongoing market swings in March 2021 as well as with Kansas City Southern unsystematic, company-specific events.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Consolidated Income629.4 M540.8 M619.1 M613.59 M
Direct Expenses903.2 M931.1 M764.6 M910.22 M

Margins Breakdown

Kansas profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Kansas City itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Kansas City profit margins.
Operating Margin33.83
EBITDA Margin0.51
Gross Margin0.74
Profit Margin0.24
Kansas City Net Income Per Employee is comparatively stable at the moment. Also, Kansas City Revenue Per Employee is comparatively stable at the moment.

Kansas City has 87 percent chance to drop way below $252 in May

The expected short fall is down to -1.73 as of today.
As of the 16th of April 2021, Kansas City secures the Downside Deviation of 1.65, mean deviation of 1.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1244. Kansas City Southern technical analysis lets you operate historical price patterns with an objective to determine a pattern that forecasts the direction of the firm's future prices. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We are able to interpolate and collect nineteen technical drivers for Kansas City, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Kansas City Southern standard deviation, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Kansas City Southern is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 257.51 per share. Given that Kansas City Southern has jensen alpha of 0.1193, we recommend you to check Kansas City's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Conclusion on Kansas City

Whereas some firms in the railroads industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Kansas City may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. To conclude, as of the 16th of April 2021, our analysis shows that Kansas City almost mirrors the market. The firm is overvalued and projects low odds of distress for the next 2 years. However, our latest 30 days Buy-Hold-Sell recommendation on the firm is Strong Buy.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Kansas City Southern. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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