Lincoln Story

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LINC -- USA Stock  

USD 5.39  0.21  3.75%

Today's article will go over Lincoln Educational. What exactly are Lincoln Educational shareholders getting in September? Lincoln Educational is now traded for 5.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.69. The firm is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price going to jump to 5.36. The current volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is is way over 100 percent making price predictions on social media along less reliable. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.19%. The volatility of related hype on Lincoln Educational is about 934.37% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.11 Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Published over a month ago
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Is Lincoln Educational (NASDAQ:LINC) gaining more confidence from investors?
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Lincoln Educational Services. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 2.05 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 3.17 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.03.
The successful prediction of Lincoln Educational stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lincoln Educational Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lincoln Educational based on Lincoln Educational hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Lincoln Educational's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lincoln Educational's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Lincoln expected Price

Lincoln Educational technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lincoln Educational technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lincoln Educational trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Lincoln utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Lincoln Educational, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Lincoln Educational is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Lincoln Educational cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Lincoln Educational Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 988,000

Lincoln Educational exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Lincoln Educational insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Lincoln insider trading alert for general transaction of common stock by Rose Carlton, the corporate stakeholder, on 18th of September 2020. This event was filed by Lincoln Educational Servi with SEC on 2020-09-18. Initial filing of beneficial ownership - SEC Form 3 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

A Deeper look at Lincoln

The current price rise of Lincoln Educational Services may encourage investors to take a closer look at the firm as it closed today at a share price of 5.12 on 290,529 in trading volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in September. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 5.41. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the Lincoln Educational partners.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Interest Expense7.1 M2.42 M2.96 M4.29 M
Gross Profit132.44 M137.83 M149.85 M160.18 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Lincoln Educational Deferred Revenue is decreasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Ongoing Deferred Revenue is projected to grow to about 25.8 M this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Lincoln Educational Deferred Revenue is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Deferred Revenue was at 23.41 Million
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
201330.2 Million
201426.47 Million
201523.7 Million
201624.78 Million
201724.65 Million
201822.55 Million
201923.41 Million
202025.82 Million

Lincoln showing appearance of lower volatility

Current maximum drawdown is at 28.64. Lincoln Educational Services shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Lincoln Educational Services further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Lincoln Educational future alpha.

Whereas other companies under the education & training services industry are still a bit expensive, Lincoln Educational may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. With a relatively neutral outlook on the current economy, it is better to hold off any trading of Lincoln as the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Lincoln Educational.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of Lincoln Educational Services. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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