Lincoln Story

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LINC -- USA Stock  

USD 6.35  0.10  1.55%

In general, we focus on analyzing Lincoln (NASDAQ:LINC) price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Lincoln Educational daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers. Today we will go over Lincoln Educational. We will evaluate if Lincoln Educational shares are reasonably priced going into April.
Published over a month ago
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We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Lincoln Educational. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time.
The successful prediction of Lincoln Educational stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lincoln Educational, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lincoln Educational based on Lincoln Educational hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lincoln Educational's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lincoln Educational's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Lincoln expected Price

Lincoln Educational technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lincoln Educational technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lincoln Educational trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Lincoln utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Lincoln Educational, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Lincoln Educational is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Lincoln Educational cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Lincoln Educational Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 23.48 Million

Payment of 15916 shares by Brian Meyers of Lincoln Educational subject to Rule 16b-3

Legal trades by Lincoln Educational insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Lincoln insider trading alert for payment of common stock by Brian Meyers, CFO and Treasurer, on 18th of March 2021. This event was filed by Lincoln Educational Servi with SEC on 2021-03-18. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4. Brian Meyers currently serves as cfo, executive vp and treasurer of Lincoln Educational [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Breaking it down a bit more

This firm reported the previous year's revenue of 285.22 M. Net Income was 10.26 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 149.85 M.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Interest Expense2.42 M2.96 M2.67 M3.41 M
Gross Profit137.83 M149.85 M134.86 M146.05 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Lincoln Educational Deferred Revenue is decreasing over the years with slightly volatile fluctuation. Ongoing Deferred Revenue is projected to grow to about 23.9 M this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Lincoln Educational Deferred Revenue is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Deferred Revenue was at 21.07 Million
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
201426.47 Million
201523.7 Million
201624.78 Million
201724.65 Million
201822.55 Million
201923.41 Million
202021.07 Million
202123.91 Million

The case for Lincoln Educational slip maybe to hold

The value at risk is down to -6.33 as of today. Lincoln Educational exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.0 and kurtosis of 3.63. However, we advise investors to further study Lincoln Educational technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lincoln Educational's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lincoln Educational's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

The Bottom Line

Whereas some firms in the education & training services industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Lincoln may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. To sum up, as of the 3rd of March 2021, our actual 30 days 'Buy-Sell' recommendation on the company is Buy. We believe Lincoln Educational is currently undervalued with below average odds of distress for the next two years.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Lincoln Educational. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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