Will Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:LXRX) current volatility spike continue?

25% of stocks are less volatile than Lexicon, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 60 days investment horizon. As many investors are getting excited about healthcare space, it is fair to break down Lexicon Pharmaceuticals. We are going to inspect if the current expected returns justify Lexicon Pharmaceuticals' volatility.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Lexicon Pharmaceuticals currently holds roughly 201.87 M in cash with 97.97 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.88, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Lexicon Pharmaceuticals or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Lexicon Pharmaceuticals may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Lexicon's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Lexicon Pharmaceuticals and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Lexicon Pharmaceuticals fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Lexicon Pharmaceuticals's Liquidity

Lexicon Pharmaceuticals financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Lexicon Pharmaceuticals ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Lexicon Pharmaceuticals financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Lexicon Pharmaceuticals' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Lexicon Pharmaceuticals' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Lexicon Pharmaceuticals's total debt and its cash.

Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Gross Profit

Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Lexicon Pharmaceuticals previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Lexicon Pharmaceuticals' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Volatility Drivers

Lexicon Pharmaceuticals unsystematic risk is unique to Lexicon Pharmaceuticals and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Lexicon Pharmaceuticals you can also buy Immunitybio. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the health care sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Lexicon Pharmaceuticals important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Lexicon Pharmaceuticals income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Lexicon volatility.
-0.570.780.530.43-0.40.460.50.09-0.37-0.37-0.430.030.61-0.510.25-0.23-0.530.340.34-0.130.54
-0.57-0.15-0.16-0.10.420.220.20.140.080.080.13-0.51-0.080.56-0.220.220.56-0.38-0.590.67-0.53
0.78-0.150.350.31-0.370.650.680.13-0.14-0.14-0.49-0.380.5-0.38-0.21-0.19-0.36-0.1-0.090.420.55
0.53-0.160.350.920.160.140.11-0.27-0.93-0.930.12-0.180.840.040.41-0.13-0.060.340.3-0.30.19
0.43-0.10.310.920.340.110.09-0.3-0.87-0.870.12-0.170.790.050.33-0.17-0.050.260.22-0.250.13
-0.40.42-0.370.160.34-0.34-0.35-0.4-0.2-0.20.440.070.210.2-0.03-0.430.15-0.24-0.430.02-0.52
0.460.220.650.140.11-0.340.990.76-0.11-0.11-0.34-0.510.44-0.22-0.250.12-0.27-0.25-0.290.360.13
0.50.20.680.110.09-0.350.990.74-0.07-0.07-0.41-0.510.42-0.23-0.220.11-0.28-0.21-0.270.390.16
0.090.140.13-0.27-0.3-0.40.760.740.150.15-0.14-0.280.08-0.3-0.220.31-0.35-0.23-0.190.11-0.11
-0.370.08-0.14-0.93-0.87-0.2-0.11-0.070.151.0-0.230.1-0.8-0.06-0.48-0.090.05-0.36-0.320.340.01
-0.370.08-0.14-0.93-0.87-0.2-0.11-0.070.151.0-0.230.1-0.8-0.06-0.48-0.090.05-0.36-0.320.340.01
-0.430.13-0.490.120.120.44-0.34-0.41-0.14-0.23-0.230.29-0.010.170.140.090.180.04-0.02-0.32-0.21
0.03-0.51-0.38-0.18-0.170.07-0.51-0.51-0.280.10.10.29-0.31-0.230.34-0.02-0.130.360.34-0.550.08
0.61-0.080.50.840.790.210.440.420.08-0.8-0.8-0.01-0.31-0.30.17-0.27-0.430.05-0.01-0.10.03
-0.510.56-0.380.040.050.2-0.22-0.23-0.3-0.06-0.060.17-0.23-0.30.160.360.980.070.00.15-0.39
0.25-0.22-0.210.410.33-0.03-0.25-0.22-0.22-0.48-0.480.140.340.170.160.290.150.940.82-0.370.0
-0.230.22-0.19-0.13-0.17-0.430.120.110.31-0.09-0.090.09-0.02-0.270.360.290.40.270.360.1-0.11
-0.530.56-0.36-0.06-0.050.15-0.27-0.28-0.350.050.050.18-0.13-0.430.980.150.40.090.010.22-0.33
0.34-0.38-0.10.340.26-0.24-0.25-0.21-0.23-0.36-0.360.040.360.050.070.940.270.090.91-0.40.3
0.34-0.59-0.090.30.22-0.43-0.29-0.27-0.19-0.32-0.32-0.020.34-0.010.00.820.360.010.91-0.490.33
-0.130.670.42-0.3-0.250.020.360.390.110.340.34-0.32-0.55-0.10.15-0.370.10.22-0.4-0.49-0.14
0.54-0.530.550.190.13-0.520.130.16-0.110.010.01-0.210.080.03-0.390.0-0.11-0.330.30.33-0.14
Click cells to compare fundamentals

A Deeper Perspective

This firm reported the previous year's revenue of 320.34 M. Net Income was 39.27 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 226.92 M.

Our take on Lexicon Pharmaceuticals to recuperate

Current value at risk is at -4.49. As of the 29th of October, Lexicon Pharmaceuticals secures the mean deviation of 2.34, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12). In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down nineteen technical drivers for Lexicon Pharmaceuticals, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Lexicon Pharmaceuticals jensen alpha, semi variance, and the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk to decide if Lexicon Pharmaceuticals is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 1.16 per share. Given that Lexicon Pharmaceuticals is a hitting penny stock territory we strongly suggest to closely look at its total risk alpha.

Our Final Take On Lexicon Pharmaceuticals

While other companies in the biotechnology industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Lexicon may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. In closing, as of the 29th of October 2020, our present 30 days advice on the company is Strong Sell. However, we believe Lexicon Pharmaceuticals is undervalued with very high chance of bankruptcy for the next two years.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Lexicon Pharmaceuticals. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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