Volatility may be your only friend when it comes to investing in Miromatrix Medical

The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term. This well-known investment aphorism seems to be playing out for Miromatrix Medical (USA Stocks: MIRO), a prominent player in the biotechnology industry. The company's stock has been the subject of considerable hype recently, with a notable increase in insider confidence. The company's valuation hype value stands at 2.52, slightly below its real value of 2.77. However, the market value is pegged higher at 3.34, indicating a potential overvaluation. Despite this, the analyst overall consensus for the stock is a 'Strong Buy', with the analyst target price estimated value at 3. The company's daily balance of power, a measure of market strength, stands at 0.6, suggesting a bullish trend. Furthermore, the stock has seen an accumulation distribution of 2.3K, indicating a strong buying pressure. However, investors should be aware of the possible downside price of 0.0334. On the flip side, the possible upside price is a whopping 31.88, suggesting a significant potential for profit if the company can capitalize on its opportunities. As we approach the fiscal year end in December, it will be interesting to see how the company's financials shape up. With the naive expected forecast value at 4.25, the company has a lot to prove to meet these expectations. In conclusion, while the hype around Miromatrix Medical is palpable, investors should tread carefully, keeping in mind both the potential rewards and risks. Generally, our analysis centers on examining the price patterns of Miromatrix (US Stocks: MIRO) and their correlations with various microeconomic environments and drivers. We also utilize predictive analytics to construct daily price indicators for Miromatrix Medical and compare them against related drivers. Today, we will review Miromatrix Medical. I will discuss a few reasons why this entity was adversely affected by insiders due to the current market volatility.
Published over six months ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Investors are buzzing about Miromatrix Medical (USA Stocks: MIRO), a key player in the biotechnology industry, as insider confidence appears to be on the rise. The company's recent performance indicators are painting a promising picture. The Total Risk Alpha, a measure of the difference between a portfolio's expected return and the return it would have achieved without specific risks, stands at a robust 7.77. This suggests that the company is effectively managing its risk and generating higher returns than expected. Moreover, the company's Risk Adjusted Performance, which measures the risk of a portfolio compared to the risk of a benchmark, is at 0.0789, indicating that the company is outperforming its peers in the industry. The Jensen Alpha, a risk-adjusted measure of a portfolio's excess return, is at 4.53, further demonstrating the company's ability to generate superior returns. With these positive indicators, it's no wonder that insiders are showing increased confidence in Miromatrix Medical.

Important Points

We provide investment recommendations to supplement the latest expert consensus on Miromatrix Medical. Our advanced recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's growth potential, taking into account all available technical and fundamental data at the time.
The successful prediction of Miromatrix Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Miromatrix Medical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Miromatrix Medical based on Miromatrix Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Miromatrix Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Miromatrix Medical's related companies.

Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring Miromatrix Medical on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Miromatrix Medical is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other delisted stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Miromatrix Medical stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Miromatrix Medical stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

Use Technical Analysis to project Miromatrix expected Price

Miromatrix Medical technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, delisted stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Miromatrix Medical technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Miromatrix Medical trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

A Deeper Perspective

Miromatrix Medical reported the previous year's revenue of 953.47 K. Net Loss for the year was (29.96 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (466.93 K).
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Revenues USD46.53 K33.07 K953.47 K1.03 M
Revenues46.53 K33.07 K953.47 K1.03 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Miromatrix Medical Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be very stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue is likely to drop to about 1.3 M. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Where this item is not contained on the company consolidated financial statements and cannot otherwise be imputed the value of 0 is used. At this time, Miromatrix Medical's Deferred Revenue is very stable as compared to the past year.
2010
2021
2022
2023
2010488,368
2021980,101
20221.47 Million
20231.34 Million
"Never put all your eggs in one basket" is a proverb that resonates well with the current situation of Miromatrix Medical (USA Stocks: MIRO). Despite the company's current valuation standing at a robust $73.6M, it's essential to note that the company's revenue is at a modest $953.47K, indicating a high price to sales ratio of 1,921X. This might suggest an overvaluation, but the high Z Score of 9.1 and low probability of bankruptcy at 26.78% point towards a healthy financial situation. Furthermore, the company's insider ownership stands at 23.53%, which may signal growing confidence within the company's management. However, with a downside deviation of 5.08 and a standard deviation of 27.22, the risk involved is substantial. Therefore, while there is potential upside, investors should consider the inherent risks and not put all their eggs in the Miromatrix basket.

Will price continue to roll up in December 2023?

Miromatrix Medical Inc. (MIRO) recently reported a Sortino ratio of 0.6, indicating a moderate risk-adjusted performance. Although this figure does not necessarily imply high profitability, it does suggest a degree of stability in the company's returns, taking into account downside risk. Consequently, it is reasonable to anticipate that MIRO's stock price may continue its upward trend in December 2023. However, investors should closely monitor the company's financial health and market conditions, as these factors could significantly impact the stock's performance. Miromatrix Medical has exhibited above-average volatility over the chosen time period. Investors should independently evaluate Miromatrix Medical to ensure that their intended market timing strategies align with their expectations about the company's volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends can often assist investors in timing the market.
Proper use of volatility indicators allows traders to gauge Miromatrix Medical's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The increased level of volatility that accompanies bear markets can directly affect Miromatrix Medical's stock price, adding stress for investors as they watch the value of their shares decline. This typically prompts investors to rebalance their portfolios by purchasing different stocks as prices drop. In light of the recent market data, the decision to exit Miromatrix Medical stock should be carefully considered. The company's Valuation Hype Value stands at 2.52, indicating a potentially overhyped valuation compared to its Real Value of 2.77. However, the Analyst Overall Consensus is a 'Strong Buy', with the Analyst Target Price Estimated Value set at 3. This suggests a possible upside price of 31.88, significantly higher than the possible downside price of 0.0334. Therefore, despite the current market valuation, the strong buy recommendation and potential for significant upside make it worth considering holding onto Miromatrix Medical stock for the time being. .

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Editorial Staff

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