Is Vail Resorts outlook positive for July 2021?

Whilst many millenniums are getting more into consumer cyclical space, it makes sense to outline Vail Resorts. We will evaluate if Vail Resorts shares are reasonably priced going into July. Is the entity current valuation justified? We will cover the stock valuation to give you a better outlook on taking a position in the stock.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

Vail Resorts has 3.13 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.86, which is OK given its current industry classification. The entity has a current ratio of 1.57, which is typical for the industry and considered as normal.
Vail Resorts has performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.0255, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Vail Resorts's beta means in this case. Vail Resorts returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vail Resorts is expected to follow. Although it is extremely important to respect Vail Resorts current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Vail Resorts technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.1% will be sustainable into the future. Vail Resorts right now has a risk of 1.81%. Please validate Vail Resorts downside variance, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and accumulation distribution to decide if Vail Resorts will be following its existing price patterns.
We determine the current worth of Vail Resorts using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Vail Resorts based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Vail Resorts's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Vail Resorts's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Vail Resorts. We calculate exposure to Vail Resorts's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vail Resorts's related companies.

Vail Resorts Investment Alerts

Vail investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Vail Resorts performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Vail

Vail Resorts Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Vail value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Vail Resorts competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Vail.

Vail Resorts Gross Profit

Vail Resorts Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Vail Resorts previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Vail Resorts Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Vail Resorts' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Detailed Perspective On Vail Resorts

The modest gains experienced by current holders of Vail Resorts may encourage institutional investors to take a closer look at the company as it is trading at a share price of 333.38 on 206,500 in trading volume. The company executives have been quite successful in maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in May. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 1.81. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.

Margins Breakdown

Vail Resorts profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Vail Resorts itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Vail Resorts profit margins.
Operating Margin10.89
EBITDA Margin0.28
Gross Margin0.29
Profit Margin0.0721
Vail Resorts Revenue Per Employee is increasing over the last 8 years. The previous year's value of Vail Resorts Revenue Per Employee was 59,482. Further, Vail Resorts Average Assets is increasing over the last 8 years.

Possible July throwback of Vail Resorts?

The maximum drawdown is down to 10.11 as of today. Vail Resorts currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of 0.0. However, we advise investors to further question Vail Resorts expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vail Resorts' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vail Resorts' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

The Bottom Line

Whereas many other companies within the resorts & casinos industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Vail Resorts may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. To conclude, as of the 6th of June 2021, our latest 90 days advice on the company is Strong Hold. We believe Vail Resorts is currently fairly valued with below average chance of bankruptcy for the next two years.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Vail Resorts. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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