What is October outlook for NextDecade (NASDAQ:NEXT)?

Today's article will review NextDecade. We will evaluate why recent NextDecade price moves suggest a bounce in October. NextDecade is now traded for 3.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.06. The firm is estimated to decline in value after the next press release, with the price expected to drop to 3.06. The average volatility of headline impact on the company stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.61%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.23 percent. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next estimated announcement will be in about 10 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on NextDecade. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time.
The successful prediction of Nextdecade Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nextdecade Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nextdecade Corp based on Nextdecade Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Nextdecade Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nextdecade Corp's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Nextdecade expected Price

Nextdecade Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Nextdecade Corp technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Nextdecade Corp trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Nextdecade Corp Gross Profit

Nextdecade Corp Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Nextdecade Corp previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Nextdecade Corp Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Nextdecade Corp's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Details

The newest price gain of NextDecade may encourage private investors to take a closer look at the firm as it is trading at a share price of 3.11 on slow start in trading volume. The company directors and management may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in October. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 13.47. The very high volatility is mostly attributed to the latest market swings and not very good earnings reports from some of the NextDecade partners.

EBITDA Margin Breakdown

NextDecade EBITDA Margin yearly trend continues to be comparatively stable with very little volatility. EBITDA Margin will likely drop to 0.13 in 2020. EBITDA Margin usually refers to measures the ratio between a company's Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA and [Revenue]. NextDecade EBITDA Margin is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. NextDecade reported EBITDA Margin of 0.15 in 2019
2010
2011
2019
2020
20100.21
20110.16
20190.15
20200.13

NextDecade implied volatility may change after the gain

The semi variance is down to 49.82 as of today. NextDecade is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize NextDecade independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about NextDecade volatility.

Our Final Take On NextDecade

Whereas some companies within the oil & gas e&p industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, NextDecade may offer a potential longer-term growth to private investors. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither acquire nor drop any shares of NextDecade at this time. The NextDecade risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to NextDecade.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Nextdecade Corp. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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