Navios Story

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#754DEB;color: #F0FFF0;font-size:4em;'>NM</div>
NM -- USA Stock  

USD 6.23  0.07  1.14%

While some traders are getting carried away by overanalyzing industrials space, it is reasonable to summarize Navios Maritime Holdings against current market trends. We are going to address the reasons why we are still confident in anticipation of a recovery. The returns on the market and returns on Navios Maritime appear more or less related for the last few months. Sluggish basic indicators of the company may also denote signs of medium-term losses for Navios stakeholders. The stock continues to experience an active upward rally.
Published over three weeks ago
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Our new technical analysis of Navios Maritime Holdings (NYSE:NM)
The entity's average rating is Strong Sell from 1 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Navios Maritime market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Navios. Let us look at a few aspects of Navios technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Navios Maritime Holdings. In general, we focus on analyzing Navios Maritime stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Navios Maritime's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Navios Maritime's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Navios Maritime, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Navios Maritime price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navios Maritime's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Navios Maritime in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Navios Maritime. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Navios Maritime's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Navios Maritime's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Navios Maritime Holdings.

How does Navios Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Navios Maritime competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Navios Maritime across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Navios Maritime Competition Details

How Navios utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Navios Maritime, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Navios Maritime is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Navios Maritime cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Navios Maritime Net Cash Flow from Operations is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Net Cash Flow from Operations is estimated at 84.23 Million

Closer look at Navios Maritime Semi Variance

Navios Maritime Holdings has current Semi Variance of 11.12. Semi-variance provides a good measure of downside volatility for equity or a portfolio. It is similar to variance, but it only looks at periods where the returns are less than the target or average level.

Semi-variance is the square of semi-deviation. Semi-variance is calculated by averaging the deviations of returns that have a result that is less than the mean.

Semi Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ZERO) 
 = 
11.12
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual return deviation over selected period
N(ZERO) = Number of points with returns less than zero
Let's now compare Navios Maritime Semi Variance to its closest peers:
NM
DSX
GNK
ASC
DAC
NM11.123065117023662
DSX4.31
GNK9.08
ASC18.28
DAC23.6

Over 3 percent hike for Navios Maritime. What does it mean for stakeholders?

Treynor Ratio just dropped to -2.54, may denote upcoming price decline. Navios Maritime Holdings is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Navios Maritime Holdings independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Navios Maritime volatility.

The Bottom Line

While some firms within the marine shipping industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Navios Maritime may offer a potential longer-term growth to stakeholders. To conclude, as of the 30th of January 2021, our final 30 days 'Buy-vs-Sell' recommendation on the company is Strong Sell. We believe Navios Maritime is currently overvalued with below average chance of distress for the next two years.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of Navios Maritime Holdings. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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