Northern Story

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NOG -- USA Stock  

USD 12.40  0.52  4.02%

As many millenniums are trying to avoid energy space, it makes sense to digest Northern Oil And a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. We will evaluate why we are still confident in anticipation of a recovery. Is the entity valuation sustainable? Here I will cover a perspective on valuation of Northern to give you a better outlook on taking a position in this stock.
Published over a month ago
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Will Northern Oil (NYSEMKT:NOG) price increase in April 2021?
The entity has 984.53 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.04, demonstrating that Northern Oil And may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. The firm has a current ratio of 1.06, demonstrating that it may not be capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due.
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Northern Oil And and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle.
We determine the current worth of Northern Oil And using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Northern Oil And based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Northern Oil's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Northern Oil's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Northern Oil. We calculate exposure to Northern Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Northern Oil's related companies.

Northern Oil And Investment Alerts

Northern investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Northern Oil And performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Northern

Northern Oil Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Northern value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Northern Oil competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Northern.

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for Northern Oil, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

A Deeper look at Northern

The latest price surge of Northern Oil And may encourage shareholders to take a closer look at the firm as it is trading at a share price of 14.15 on 591,459 in trading volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the firm resources to exploit market volatility in April. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 4.79. This high volatility is attributed to the latest market swings and not so good earnings reports for some of the Northern Oil And partners.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Interest Expense86.89 M80.68 M92.78 M74.92 M
Gross Profit566.98 M295.73 M340.09 M320.83 M

Margins Breakdown

Northern profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Northern Oil itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Northern Oil profit margins.
Operating Margin13.87
EBITDA Margin0.44
Gross Margin0.61
Profit Margin(0.16)


Northern Oil Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is increasing over the last 8 years. Also, Northern Oil Average Assets is increasing over the last 8 years.

Another small dip for Northern Oil

Skewness is down to 0.18. It may indicate a possible volatility dip.
As of the 12th of March 2021, Northern Oil secures the Downside Deviation of 4.89, mean deviation of 3.63, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1317. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Northern Oil And, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Northern Oil, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Northern Oil And information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if Northern Oil And is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 14.15 per share. Given that Northern Oil And has jensen alpha of 0.5552, we recommend you to check Northern Oil's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Takeaway on Northern Oil Investment

Although some companies in the oil & gas e&p industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Northern Oil may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. While some shareholders may not share our view we believe that the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Northern Oil.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Achuva Shats do not own shares of Northern Oil And. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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