Will Oracle continue to eat your money?
 | By Rifka Kats | Macroaxis Story |
Today's write-up is for all stakeholders who are seriously contemplating on exiting a position in Oracle. I will summarize the rationale of why Oracle stakeholders should not be insulted by the new pull out. Oracle follows market closely. The returns on investing in Oracle and the market returns of the last few months appear not related. The trail of steady technical indicators of the business denotes medium term price swing for stakeholders of the business. Macroaxis considers Oracle to be very steady. Oracle maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e. Efficiency) of -0.0515 which implies the corporation had -0.0515% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards forecasting risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Oracle exposes twenty-one different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check Oracle Coefficient Of Variation of (2,492) and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.01 to confirm risk estimate we provide.
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin
This firm average rating is Buy from 26 analysts. As of 15 of June Oracle holds Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.01 and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,492). Compared with Fundamental Indicators, Macroaxis technical analysis interface allows you to check existing technical drivers of Oracle as well as the relationship between them. In other words you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past market data or the prices will eventually revert. We found nineteen technical drivers for Oracle which can be compared to its competitors. Please check Oracle Jensen Alpha, and the relationship between Coefficient Of Variation and Potential Upside to decide if Oracle is priced some-what accurately providing market reflects its current price of 53.62 per share. Given that Oracle has Jensen Alpha of 0.0, we recommend you check out Oracle recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at future point.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oracle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oracle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oracle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oracle.
Using predictive technical analysis, we can analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oracle. In general, sophisticated investors focus on analyzing Oracle stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. They apply predictive analytics to build Oracle's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Oracle's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Oracle, many experienced traders also check how macroeconomic factors affect Oracle price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
How does Oracle Stands against Peers?
Analyzing Oracle competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Oracle across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be. Check out Oracle Competition DetailsOracle Gross Profit
Oracle Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Oracle previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Oracle Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Oracle's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.
Is Oracle valued adequately by the market?
The small decline in market price for the last few months may encourage investors to take a closer look at the company as it closed today at a share price of 53.43 on 10031213.000 in trading volume. The company executives did not add much value to Oracle investors in May. However, diversifying your holdings with Oracle or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.0936. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Oracle is selling at 53.62. That is 0.64 percent up. Today highest was 54.05. Oracle Return on Average Assets is decreasing over the last 5 years. The previous year value of Oracle Return on Average Assets was 0.07. Moreover, Oracle Net Income Common Stock USD is increasing over the last 5 years. On the whole, we see that Oracle Follows market closely. The business is overvalued with below average chance of financial distress within the next 24 months. Our final buy or sell advice on the business is Strong Hold.
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This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of Oracle. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.