How steady are Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) fundamental indicators given the new hike?

Oracle Free Cash Flow is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Free Cash Flow is estimated at 14.18 Billion. Market Capitalization is expected to hike to about 199.5 B this year, although the value of Average Assets will most likely fall to nearly 118.9 B. If you have been following Oracle you may be considering acquiring. Let's check if steady fundamental indicators will continue to push the price to hike for Oracle's stakeholders. We currently estimate Oracle as fairly valued. The real value is approaching 102.86 per share.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

Macroaxis provides advice on Oracle Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Oracle Corp. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Typically, a company's financial statements are the reports that show the financial position of the company. There are three main documents that fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Oracle income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows. Potential Oracle investors and stakeholders use financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned to perform in the future. Although Oracle investors may use each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Oracle's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Oracle's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet, but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The goal of Oracle fundamental analysis is to do accurate financial forecasts. There are several possible objectives to fundamental analysis, such as projecting of Oracle performance into the future periods or doing a reasonable stock valuation. The intrinsic value of Oracle shares is the value that is considered the true value of the share. If the intrinsic value of Oracle is higher than its market price, buying is generally recommended. If it is equal to the market price, it is recommended to hold; and if it is less than the market price, then one should sell all shares Oracle. Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

How effective is Oracle in utilizing its assets?

Oracle reports assets on its Balance Sheet. It represents the amount of Oracle resources that either has an existing economic value or will provide some form of benefits in the future. By effectively utilizing its assets, Oracle aims to generate revenue, control costs, drive operational efficiency, and enhance profitability. Optimizing asset utilization helps maximize shareholder value and maintain a competitive position in the Systems Software space. To get a better handle on how balance sheet or income statements item affect Oracle volatility, please check the breakdown of all its fundamentals.

Are Oracle Earnings Expected to grow?

The future earnings power of Oracle involves the interaction of many company-specific, industry, and economic forces. Earnings estimates embody investors' opinions of Oracle factors such as sales growth, product demand, competitive industry environment, profit margins, and cost controls. Oracle stock prices adjust as these expectations change or are proven wrong. The main thing to remember is that equities with high expected earnings growth tend to underperform the market because it is usually difficult to meet the market's high expectations. Companies with low earnings expectations tend to do better than expected. Please use our latest analysis of Oracle expected earnings.

And What about dividends?

A dividend is the distribution of a portion of Oracle earnings, decided and managed by the company's board of directors and paid to a class of its shareholders. Note, announcements of dividend payouts are generally accompanied by a proportional increase or decrease in a company's stock price. Oracle dividend payments follow a chronological order of events, and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment. Oracle one year expected dividend income is about USD0.99 per share.
The value of Dividends Paid is estimated to slide to about 2.5 B. The value of Dividend Yield is estimated to slide to 0.01.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid4.2 B2.5 B
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.39  0.22 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(3.07)(2.92)
Investing in dividend-paying stocks, such as Oracle is one of the few strategies that are good for long-term investment. Ex-dividend dates are significant because investors in Oracle must own a stock before its ex-dividend date to receive its next dividend.
This type of analysis is very useful when you want to generate a past dividend schedule and payout information for Oracle. Then that information in the form of graph and calendar can be used to fully explain how Du Pont dividends can provide a real clue to its valuation.

Oracle Gross Profit

Oracle Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Oracle previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Oracle Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Oracle's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is Oracle valued adequately by the market?

Although in the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission has enforced strong rules to prevent insiders from engaging in insider trading, finding insiders among active shareholders of Oracle is not uncomon. Institutional investor usually refers to an organization that invests money in Oracle on behalf of clients or other money managers. Buying and selling of large positions of Oracle stock by institutional investors can create supply and demand imbalances that result in sudden price moves of Oracle stock. Let's take a look at how the ownership of Oracle is distributed among investors.

Ownership Allocation

Oracle owns a total of two billion seven hundred ninety million outstanding shares. Oracle has significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how much assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.
Retail Investors
10.92%
Insiders
41.91%
Institutions
47.17%
Retail Investors10.92
Insiders41.91
Institutions47.17
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Consolidated Income11.08 B10.13 B11.66 B11.38 B
Direct Expenses8 B7.94 B7.86 B7.32 B

Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Oracle has an asset utilization ratio of 36.41 percent. This denotes that the company is making $0.36 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Oracle Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Current Assets
51.3 B
Assets Non Current
66.4 B
Goodwill
51.9 B
Current Assets51.28 Billion29.71
Assets Non Current66.39 Billion38.46
Goodwill51.9 Billion30.06
Tax Assets3.07 Billion1.78

Will Oracle growth be real after the hike?

New kurtosis is at 30.28. Oracle Corp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 4.48 and kurtosis of 30.28. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Oracle Corp to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Oracle's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Oracle's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Oracle Implied Volatility

Oracle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oracle Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oracle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oracle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oracle's options are near their expiration.

The Bottom Line

While other entities within the software—infrastructure industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Oracle may offer a potential longer-term growth to stakeholders. On the whole, as of the 11th of December 2021, our concluding 90 days 'Buy-Sell' recommendation on the company is Strong Buy. We believe Oracle is currently fairly valued with below average probability of financial unrest for the next two years.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Oracle. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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