Douglas Story

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PLOW -- USA Stock  

USD 40.23  1.04  2.52%

A current spike in volatility has left many sophisticated investors looking confused. In this story, we will focus on Douglas Dynamics. We will analyze why it could be a much better year for Douglas Dynamics shareholders. Douglas Dynamics is at this time traded for 34.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.02. The firm is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 34.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is huge, making predictions on the news or social media along less reliable. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1 percent. The volatility of related hype on Douglas Dynamics is about 965.69% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 34.13 Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Published over three weeks ago
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Do you have a personal attachment to Douglas Dynamics?
Our advice module can be used to complement Douglas Dynamics investment recommendation provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the company's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (18.34) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 12.72 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.13.
The successful prediction of Douglas Dynamics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Douglas Dynamics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Douglas Dynamics based on Douglas Dynamics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Douglas Dynamics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Douglas Dynamics's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Douglas expected Price

Douglas Dynamics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Douglas Dynamics technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Douglas Dynamics trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

How Douglas utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Douglas Dynamics, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Douglas Dynamics is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Douglas Dynamics cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Douglas Dynamics Net Cash Flow from Operations is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Douglas Dynamics reported Net Cash Flow from Operations of 77.3 Million in 2019

An Additional Perspective On Douglas Dynamics

The small fall in market price for the last few months may encourage sophisticated investors to take a closer look at the firm as it is trading at a share price of 34.11 on very low momentum in trading volume. The company executives did not add much value to Douglas Dynamics investors in October. However, diversifying your holdings with Douglas Dynamics or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 1.97. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.
 2017 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Consolidated Income55.32 M43.91 M50.49 M41.42 M
Direct Expenses331.84 M369.18 M402.89 M434.7 M

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

Douglas Dynamics Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be fairly stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue will likely drop to about 336.7 M in 2020. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. Douglas Dynamics Cost of Revenue is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Douglas Dynamics reported Cost of Revenue of 424.55 Million in 2019
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2013128.67 Million
2014187.19 Million
2015267.55 Million
2016282.29 Million
2017331.84 Million
2018369.18 Million
2019424.55 Million
2020336.68 Million

Will Douglas price fall impact its balance sheet?

Latest mean deviation is at 1.59. Douglas Dynamics exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.16 and kurtosis of -0.26. However, we advise investors to further study Douglas Dynamics technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.

While some other companies in the auto parts industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Douglas Dynamics may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. With a relatively neutral outlook on the latest economy, it is better to hold off any trading of Douglas as the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Douglas Dynamics.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Douglas Dynamics. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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