Should you keep an eye on Freightcar America (NASDAQ:RAIL) management before April?

It appears without question that Freightcar America may not recover as fast as we have hopped for as its price went down 29.14% today. Freightcar America current daily volatility is 7.77 percent, with a beta of 2.32 and an alpha of 0.96 over DOW. As many millenniums are excited about the new volatility, it is fair to summarize Freightcar America based on its historical price patterns. I will address the reasons why this entity does not get much respect from stakeholders under the current market uncertainty.
Published over a year ago
View all stories for Freightcar America | View All Stories
Macroaxis uses a strict editorial review process to publish stories and blog posts. Our publishers support our company and may receive a small commission when the partner links or references are utilized. Commissions do not affect the opinions or evaluations of our editorial team. The information our editors and media partners deliver is confidential and licensed for your sole use as a Macroaxis user. We reserve all rights to the content of this article, and therefore copying or distributing this story in whole or in part is strictly prohibited.

Reviewed by Raphi Shpitalnik

Freightcar America currently holds roughly 54.05 M in cash with (58.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.47.
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Freightcar America has an asset utilization ratio of 26.65 percent. This denotes that the company is making $0.27 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Freightcar America is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
Investing in Freightcar America, just like investing in any other equity instrument, is characterized by a strong risk-return correlation. High risks mean high returns and low risk means lower expected returns. Risk management is the act of identifying and assessing the potential risk and developing strategies to minimize these risks and earn maximum possible profits while holding Freightcar America along with other instruments in the same portfolio. Using conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis to select individual securities into a portfolio complements risk management and adds value to overall investors' investing strategies.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freightcar America's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Freightcar America. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Freightcar America's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Freightcar America's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Freightcar America.

How important is Freightcar America's Liquidity

Freightcar America financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Freightcar America ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Freightcar America financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Freightcar America's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Freightcar America's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Freightcar America's total debt and its cash.

Freightcar America Gross Profit

Freightcar America Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Freightcar America previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Freightcar America Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Freightcar America's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Freightcar America Correlation with Peers

Investors in Freightcar can reduce exposure to individual asset risk by holding a diversified portfolio of assets in addition to a long position in Freightcar America. Diversification will allow for the same portfolio return with reduced risk. The correlation table of Freightcar America and its peers is a two-dimensional matrix that shows the correlation coefficient between pairs of securities Freightcar is related in some way. The cells in the table are color-coded to highlight significantly positive and negative relationships. Each cell shows the correlation between one pair of equities and can be used to run pair trading strategies or create efficient portfolios with your current brokerage. Please check volatility of Freightcar for more details

Breaking down the case for Freightcar America

Freightcar America is very risky given 1 month investment horizon. Freightcar America secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.19, which denotes the company had 0.19% of return per unit of risk over the last month. Our standpoint towards predicting the risk of a stock is to use both market data as well as company specific technical data. We were able to collect and analyze data for twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.48% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Freightcar America Coefficient Of Variation of 605.51, downside deviation of 7.08, and Mean Deviation of 5.24 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away.
UNP
CNI
CSX
NSC
CP
UNP
0.750.860.720.72
UNP
CNI
0.750.810.620.74
CNI
CSX
0.860.810.70.67
CSX
NSC
0.720.620.70.8
NSC
CP
0.720.740.670.8
CP
UNP
CNI
CSX
NSC
CP
Click cells to compare fundamentals   Check Volatility   Backtest Portfolio

Will Freightcar America continue to go bonkers?

The market risk adjusted performance is down to 0.53 as of today. Freightcar America is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Freightcar America independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Freightcar America volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Freightcar America's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Freightcar America's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Takeaway on Freightcar America Investment

While some firms in the railroads industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Freightcar America may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. On the whole, as of the 27th of March 2021, our research shows that Freightcar America is a rather very risky investment opportunity with a below average probability of distress in the next two years. From a slightly different view, the entity currently appears to be overvalued. Our actual 30 days 'Buy-Sell' recommendation on the company is Hold.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Freightcar America. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

Would you like to provide feedback on the content of this article?

You can get in touch with us directly or send us a quick note via email to editors@macroaxis.com