Safeguard Story

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SFE -- USA Stock  

USD 6.65  0.16  2.47%

As many millenniums are trying to avoid financial services space, it makes sense to digest Safeguard Scientifics a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. As expected, Safeguard Scientifics is starting to reaffirm its true potential as shareholders are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. A lot of the trends of the company stock price movements has been a demonstration of what is happening in the market overall. Sound technical and fundamental indicators of the firm may also indicate signals of longer-term gains for Safeguard shareholders. Safeguard Scientifics is scheduled to announce its earnings today.
Published over a month ago
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Planning to continue with Safeguard Scientifics (NYSE:SFE) in April?
This firm's average rating is Hold from 1 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Safeguard Scientifics market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Safeguard. Let us look at a few aspects of Safeguard technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safeguard Scientifics. In general, we focus on analyzing Safeguard Scientifics stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Safeguard Scientifics's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Safeguard Scientifics's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Safeguard Scientifics, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Safeguard Scientifics price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Safeguard Scientifics' stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Safeguard Scientifics in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Safeguard Scientifics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Safeguard Scientifics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Safeguard Scientifics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Safeguard Scientifics.

How does Safeguard Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Safeguard Scientifics competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Safeguard Scientifics across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Safeguard Scientifics Competition Details

How Safeguard utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Safeguard Scientifics, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Safeguard Scientifics is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Safeguard Scientifics cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Safeguard Scientifics Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at (8.14 Million)

Closer look at Safeguard Scientifics Downside Variance

Safeguard Scientifics has current Downside Variance of 6.47. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.

Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.

Downside Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ER) 
 = 
6.47
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period
Let's now compare Safeguard Scientifics Downside Variance to its closest peers:
SFE
BLK
BAM
IVSXF
BX
SFE6.4741834354058225
BLK3.12
BAM3.89
IVSXF2.33
BX0.86

Safeguard Scientifics implied volatility may change after the surge

Safeguard Scientifics latest maximum drawdown ascents over 23.7. Safeguard Scientifics currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.22. However, we advise investors to further question Safeguard Scientifics expected returns to ensure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Safeguard Scientifics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Safeguard Scientifics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Final Perspective on Safeguard Scientifics

Although some firms under the asset management industry are still a bit expensive, Safeguard Scientifics may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Safeguard valuation and our trade advice on Safeguard Scientifics is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Safeguard Scientifics.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Safeguard Scientifics. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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