JM Smucker Stock Story


USD 137.53  1.64  1.21%   

My story will summarize JM Smucker. Why are we still confident in our hopes for a recovery. On the 6th of June the company is traded for 123.26. JM Smucker has historical hype elasticity of -0.28. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.03. The entity is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 122.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on JM Smucker stock price is about 51.14%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08 percent. The volatility of related hype on JM Smucker is about 508.83% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 123.23 Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Published over two months ago
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Do you have a personal attachment to JM Smucker?

The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.4126, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what JM Smucker's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, JM Smucker returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JM Smucker will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to JM Smucker existing price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity price patterns. Our way in which we are determining any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. JM Smucker exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. JM Smucker has an expected return of -0.0784%. Please be advised to check out JM Smucker coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and semi variance to decide if JM Smucker performance from the past will be repeated sooner or later.
The successful prediction of JM Smucker stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JM Smucker, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JM Smucker based on JM Smucker hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JM Smucker's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JM Smucker's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project JM Smucker expected Price

JM Smucker technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of JM Smucker technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of JM Smucker trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for JM Smucker, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Scrutinizing JM Smucker - a closer look

The small pull down in market price for the last few months created some momentum for stakeholders as it was traded today as low as 122.05 and as high as 123.72 per share. The company executives did not add much value to JM Smucker investors in May. However, diversifying your holdings with JM Smucker or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 1.8. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.

JM Smucker technical analysis denotes possible bounce back

The maximum drawdown is down to 13.46 as of today. JM Smucker exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.85 and kurtosis of 15.58. However, we advise investors to further study JM Smucker technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure JM Smucker's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact JM Smucker's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

JM Smucker Implied Volatility

JM Smucker's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of JM Smucker stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if JM Smucker's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that JM Smucker stock will not fluctuate a lot when JM Smucker's options are near their expiration.

Our Final Take On JM Smucker

While some other entities in the packaged foods industry are either recovering or due for a correction, JM Smucker may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither take in nor exit any shares of JM Smucker at this time. The JM Smucker risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to JM Smucker.

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of JM Smucker. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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