What is August outlook for Simulations Plus (NASDAQ:SLP)?

Today's article will recap Simulations Plus. We will evaluate if Simulations Plus shares are reasonably priced going into August. On the 5th of July the company is traded for 51.00. Simulations Plus has historical hype elasticity of -0.38. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about -0.24. The entity is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 49.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on Simulations Plus stock price is way over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.76%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13 percent. The volatility of related hype on Simulations Plus is about 176.6% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 50.76 Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Our trade recommendation tool can be used to complement Simulations Plus advice provided by experts. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon.
The successful prediction of Simulations Plus stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Simulations Plus, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Simulations Plus based on Simulations Plus hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Simulations Plus's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Simulations Plus's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project Simulations expected Price

Simulations Plus technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Simulations Plus technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Simulations Plus trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Simulations Plus Gross Profit

Simulations Plus Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Simulations Plus previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Simulations Plus Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Simulations Plus' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

An Additional Perspective On Simulations Plus

This firm reported the last year's revenue of 49.83 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 11.53 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35.87 M.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Consolidated Income3.46 M3.73 M
Direct Expenses9.54 M10.29 M

Deferred Revenue Breakdown

Simulations Plus Deferred Revenue yearly trend continues to be very stable with very little volatility. Deferred Revenue is likely to grow to about 28.1 K this year. Deferred Revenue usually refers to a component of Total Liabilities representing the carrying amount of consideration received or receivable on potential earnings that were not recognized as revenue; including sales; license fees; and royalties; but excluding interest income. Simulations Plus Deferred Revenue is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Simulations Plus reported last year Deferred Revenue of 27,333
2010
2013
2021
2022
201089,227
201330,370
202127,333
202228,052.29

Are Simulations Plus technical ratios showing a bounce-back?

The semi variance is down to 12.5 as of today. Simulations Plus shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Simulations Plus further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Simulations Plus future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Simulations Plus' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Simulations Plus' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Simulations Plus Implied Volatility

Simulations Plus' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Simulations Plus stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Simulations Plus' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Simulations Plus stock will not fluctuate a lot when Simulations Plus' options are near their expiration.

Our Conclusion on Simulations Plus

Although many other companies under the health information services industry are still a bit expensive, Simulations Plus may offer a potential longer-term growth to insiders. To conclude, as of the 5th of July 2022, our analysis shows that Simulations Plus responds to the market. The firm is undervalued and projects close to average probability of distress for the next 2 years. Our concluding 90 days recommendation on the firm is Strong Buy.

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Editorial Staff

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