What are the odds of Copart (NASDAQ:CPRT) to drop in December?

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Copart is expected to generate 2.25 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.25 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk. Although many risk-takers are getting more into industrials space, some of us are not very happy with Copart's current volatility. We will go over odds for Copart to generate above-average margins before the next earnings call. Copart's very low volatility may have no significant impact on the stock's value as we estimate Copart as currently fairly valued. The real value, based on our calculations, is getting close to 163.73 per share.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Copart Inc currently holds roughly 911.89 M in cash with 1.03 B of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.85.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Rbc Smid or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Rbc Smid may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Rbc's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Rbc Smid and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Rbc Smid fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Instrument Allocation

The asset allocation of funds such as Rbc Smid usually varies among a different mix of asset classes. Balanced mutual funds invest not only in bonds, which focus primarily on income, and stocks, which aim for investment growth, but also keep some reserve in cash or even exotic instruments. Below we show the current asset allocation of Rbc Smid Cap
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Breaking down the case for Rbc Smid

The newest bullish price patterns experienced by current Copart Inc shareholders could raise concerns from private investors as the firm it trading at a share price of 157.51 on 404,076 in volume. The company management teams have been very successful in rebalancing the firm assets at opportune times to take advantage of market volatility in October. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 1.53. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.

Copart has 90 percent likelihood to drop below $154 in December

The skewness is down to -0.86 as of today.
As of the 17th of November 2021, Copart shows the Mean Deviation of 1.11, downside deviation of 1.69, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0954. Copart Inc technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Copart Inc, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Copart Inc coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to decide if Copart Inc is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 157.51 per share. Given that Copart has jensen alpha of 0.1674, we suggest you to validate Copart Inc's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Conclusion on Copart

Whereas many of the other players within the specialty business services industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Copart may offer a potential longer-term growth to private investors. While some before the next earnings call oriented private investors may not share our view, we believe it may not be a good time to buy new shares of Copart.

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Editorial Staff

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