Is United Fire continue to go crazy in April?

My talk will sum up United Fire. I will evaluate if United Fire shares are sensibly priced going into April and whether management should be worried. Is the entity valuation justified? Here I will also cover the stock prospective on valuation to give you a better outlook on taking a position in this stock. Macroaxis considers United Fire to be not too volatile. United Fire Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e. Sharpe Ratio) of -0.1696 which indicates the firm had -0.1696% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards measuring risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. United Fire Group exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate United Fire Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13) and Coefficient Of Variation of (662.35) to confirm risk estimate we provide.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik

This firm currently holds zero balance in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.06 which may suggest United Fire is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. United Fire dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. The firm one year expected dividend income is about $1.49 per share. Let me take a closer look at United Fire Price to Earnings To Growth. Based on latest financial disclosure the price to earnings to growth indicator of United Fire Group is roughly 3.28 times. This is much higher than that of the Financial Services sector, and significantly higher than that of Insurance - Property & Casualty industry, The Price to Earnings To Growth for all stocks is notably lower than United Fire Group.
We determine the current worth of United Fire Group using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of United Fire Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing United Fire's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of United Fire's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of United Fire. We calculate exposure to United Fire's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Fire's related companies.

United Fire Group Investment Alerts

United investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring United Fire Group performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for United

United Fire Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare United value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across United Fire competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of United.

United Fire Gross Profit

United Fire Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing United Fire previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show United Fire Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check United Fire's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is United Fire valued wisely by the market?

United Fire Group has negative utilization of assets of -0.16 %, realizing only $0.0 for each dollar of assets held by the company. Inadequate assets utilization indicates the company is being less effective with each dollar of assets it has. In other words assets utilization of United Fire Group shows how discouraging it operates for each dollar spent on its assets. The recent United Fire price drops has created some momentum for investors as it was traded today as low as 46.89 and as high as 48.17 per share. The company management were unable to exploit market volatilities in February. However, diversifying your overall positions with United Fire Group can protect your principal portfolio during market swings. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.7665. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. United Fire preserves 591.01m of retained earnings. United Fire is trading at 46.97 which is 4.42 percent decrease. Today lowest is 46.89. United Fire Invested Capital is relatively stable at the moment. Further, United Fire Revenue Per Employee is relatively stable at the moment.
 2013 2014 2015 2018 2019 (projected)
United Fire PPandE Turnover 19.42  19.53  20.20  23.23  28.71 
United Fire Calculated Tax Rate 25.28  22.66  26.62  23.95  22.15 
The bottom line, our actual 'Buy/Hold/Sell' recommendation on the enterprise is Cautious Hold. We believe United Fire is overvalued with about average chance of financial distress for the next two years.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Rifka Kats do not own shares of United Fire Group. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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