United Story

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#FF0F00;color: #FFFFF0;font-size:4em;'>UP</div>
UPS -- USA Stock  

USD 157.51  2.56  1.60%

The predictive indicators we use to evaluate United help investors to analyze its daily demand and supply, volume, patterns, and price swings to determine the real value of United Parcel Service. We apply different methods to arrive at the intrinsic value of United based on widely used predictive technical indicators. While some planning is required to successfully invest in stocks, sometimes taking bold action is just as important. Let's try to sum up why this may be the case with United Parcel. We will analyze why it could be a much better year for United Parcel shareholders.
Published over three weeks ago
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Should I exit my United Parcel (NYSE:UPS) position?
The entity has a beta of -0.158, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what United's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning United Parcel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, United Parcel is likely to outperform the market. Even though it is essential to pay attention to United Parcel Service current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. United Parcel Service exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. United Parcel Service has an expected return of -0.022%. Please be advised to validate United Parcel maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price to decide if United Parcel Service stock performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
The successful prediction of United Parcel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Parcel Service, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Parcel based on United Parcel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Parcel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Parcel's related companies.

Use Technical Analysis to project United expected Price

United Parcel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of United Parcel technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of United Parcel trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions.
It is good to see analyst projects for United Parcel, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

What is driving United Parcel Investor Appetite?

The small fall in market price for the last few months created some momentum for retail investors as it was traded today as low as 156.93 and as high as 164.19 per share. The company directors and management did not add much value to United Parcel Service investors in January. However, diversifying your holdings with United Parcel Service or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 1.55. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for longer-term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity6.66.535.876.46
Interest Coverage11.6111.9413.7315.74

Cost of Revenue Breakdown

United Parcel Cost of Revenue yearly trend continues to be relatively stable with very little volatility. Cost of Revenue is likely to grow to about 3.6 B this year. Cost of Revenue usually refers to the aggregate cost of goods produced and sold and services rendered during the reporting period. United Parcel Cost of Revenue is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. United Parcel reported last year Cost of Revenue of 3.29 Billion
20115.33 Billion
20125.32 Billion
20135.27 Billion
20145.25 Billion
20153.88 Billion
20163.66 Billion
20203.29 Billion
20213.63 Billion

Our perspective of the latest United Parcel spike

Latest maximum drawdown is at 10.51. United Parcel Service exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.11 and kurtosis of 4.78. However, we advise investors to further study United Parcel Service technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.

Our Final Take On United Parcel

When is the right time to buy or sell United Parcel Service? Buying stocks such as United Parcel isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities, deliver winning trades and diversify portfolios on a daily basis. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither take in nor short any shares of United Parcel at this time. The United Parcel Service risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to United Parcel.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of United Parcel Service. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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