What is February outlook for Universal Stainless (USA Stocks:USAP)?

Universal Stainless Alloy (USAP) has shown a steady growth with a potential upside of 7.36% and a Jensen Alpha of 0.65, indicating a good risk-adjusted performance. However, investors should be cautious as the company reported a net income loss of $8.1 million from continuing operations. Despite this, the company's operating margin of 6.19% suggests it has been managing its operating costs effectively.

Main Points

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue generated for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Universal Stainless has an asset utilization ratio of 55.63 percent. This suggests that the company is generating $0.56 for each dollar of assets. An increase in asset utilization indicates that Universal Stainless Alloy is becoming more efficient with each dollar of assets it uses for daily operations.
Published over six months ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Every cloud has a silver lining, and for Universal Stainless Alloy (USAP), the silver lining appears to be its steady growth despite a challenging financial landscape. The Metals & Mining company, traded on NASDAQ, has shown resilience with a total revenue of $202.1M and a promising quarterly revenue growth of 0.54. However, it's important to note that the company has experienced a net income loss of $8.1M. Despite this, the company's 50-day moving average of $17.43 and an analyst target price estimated value of $19 suggest a potential bullish surge may be on the horizon. Universal Stainless Alloy is set to announce its earnings today, with the subsequent financial report anticipated on April 24, 2024. As some baby boomers express concern about their positions in the metals and mining sector, it remains entirely plausible to consider Universal Stainless as a potential addition to your current portfolio. We will delve into why investors in Universal Stainless might still contemplate an investment in the company, given the most recent economic outlook.
What is the right price you would pay to acquire a share of Universal Stainless? For most investors, it would be the price that gives them a wide margin of safety to have minimal downside risk. In other words, most investors are always looking for undervalued stocks. Even if the future performance is not entirely as expected, the loss of holding it is minimized, and the downside risk is negated. Please read more on our stock advisor page.

What is happening with Universal Stainless Alloy this year

Annual and quarterly reports issued by Universal Stainless Alloy are formal financial statements that are published yearly and quarterly and sent to Universal stockholders. The reports show and break down the current year's ongoing operations and discuss plans for the upcoming year. Annual reports have been a requirement from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for businesses owned by the public since 1934.
Companies such as Universal Stainless often view their annual report as an effective marketing tool to disseminate their perspective on company future earnings or innovations. With this in mind, many companies devote large sums of money to making their reports attractive and informative. In such instances, the annual report becomes a forum through which a company can communicate to the general public any number of topics that may or may not be directly related to the actual data published in the reports.

Universal Stainless Gross Profit

Universal Stainless Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Universal Stainless previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Universal Stainless Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Universal Stainless' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Is Universal a risky opportunity?

Let's check the volatility. Universal is looking slightly risky at this time. Whether you invest your money or manage your clients' funds, remember that it is easy to forget that behind Universal (USA Stocks:USAP) stock is an actual business venture. So, do not let stock picking become an abstract concept by ignoring the elementary risk calculations. buying a share of an Universal Stainless stock makes you a part-owner of that company. Slow and steady wins the race, and Universal Stainless Alloy (USAP) seems to be following this mantra.
The company's stock has been showing steady growth, with a day typical price of $19.29, nearing its 52-week high of $20.8. Despite a challenging year, the company has managed to maintain a strong current ratio of 4.70X, indicating its ability to meet short-term obligations. However, it's not all smooth sailing. The company reported a net loss of $8.1M and an operating loss of $6.5M, reflecting the impact of high cost of revenue at $187.9M. Despite these challenges, the company's market capitalization stands at $172.22M, and with a beta of 1.05, it exhibits moderate volatility. Given these factors, a bullish surge could be on the horizon for Universal Stainless Alloy, but investors should also be mindful of the risks involved. .

Momentum Analysis of Universal Stainless suggests possible reversal in February

The latest Value at Risk (VaR) for Universal Stainless Alloy Stock is currently at -5.92, indicating a potential downside risk. This suggests that there is a probability of a maximum loss of 5.92% in the upcoming trading days. However, a meticulous momentum analysis of Universal Stainless hints at a possible reversal in February. This implies that despite the current risk, the stock might experience a positive shift in momentum, potentially leading to an upward trend. Investors should closely monitor the stock's performance in the coming weeks to capitalize on this potential turnaround. As of January 24th, Universal Stainless has a Coefficient Of Variation of 485.5, a semi deviation of 2.74, and a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.137. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check the existing technical drivers of Universal Stainless Alloy, as well as their interrelationships. In other words, you can use this information to determine if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or if the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze nineteen technical drivers for Universal Stainless Alloy, which can be compared to its competition.
Please validate Universal Stainless Alloy's coefficient of variation, Treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the Treynor Ratio and semi variance to decide if Universal Stainless is priced more or less accurately, given that the market reflects its current price of 19.06 per share. Given that Universal Stainless Alloy has a Jensen alpha of 0.6546, we advise you to double-check Universal Stainless Alloy's current market performance to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future. In conclusion, Universal Stainless Alloy (USAP) has been advancing slowly, but there are indicators that suggest a potential upswing. The company's valuation real value stands at $19.23, slightly above the analyst's highest estimated target price of $19. The naive expected forecast value is $17.43, indicating a potential for growth. Furthermore, the possible upside price is estimated at $21.12, which is a promising figure for investors. With the analyst overall consensus being a 'Strong Buy' and the EPS estimate for the next year at 1.5, it seems that Universal Stainless Alloy could be a solid investment choice. However, investors should also consider the possible downside price of $13.73. As always, it's crucial to conduct thorough research and consider various factors before making investment decisions. .

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Universal Stainless Alloy. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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