USD Partners Story

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USDP -- USA Stock  

USD 5.20  0.20  4.00%

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By Ellen Johnson  
Macroaxis Story
As many millenniums are trying to avoid industrials space, it makes sense to recap USD Partners LP a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. As expected, USD Partners is starting to reaffirm its true potential as insiders are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. The returns on investing in USD Partners and the market returns of the last few months appear highly unrelated. Unfluctuating basic indicators of the firm may also hint at signs of long period losses for USD Partners insiders. The stock is currently experiences an active upward rally.
Published over a month ago
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Planning to stay with USD Partners LP (NYSE:USDP) in February?
This firm's average rating is Hold from 4 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on USD Partners market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of USD Partners. Let us look at a few aspects of USD Partners technical analysis. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (20.5) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 19.05 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of 0.19.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of USD Partners LP. In general, we focus on analyzing USD Partners stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build USD Partners's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of USD Partners's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for USD Partners, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect USD Partners price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of USD Partners' stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of USD Partners in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
Details
Naive
Forecast
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as USD Partners. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against USD Partners' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, USD Partners' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in USD Partners LP.

How does USD Partners Stands against Peers?

Analyzing USD Partners competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to USD Partners across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out USD Partners Competition Details

How USD Partners utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of USD Partners, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash USD Partners is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The USD Partners cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

Closer look at USD Partners Downside Variance

USD Partners LP has current Downside Variance of 17.3. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.

Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.

Downside Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
N(ER) 
 = 
17.3
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period
Let's now compare USD Partners Downside Variance to its closest peers:
USDP
UNP
CSX
NSC
CP
USDP17.296747739036743
UNP4.14
CSX2.62
NSC2.54
CP2.15

Another 3 percent roll up for USD Partners

Recent maximum drawdown is at 16.44. As of the 23rd of January, USD Partners has the coefficient of variation of 466.09, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2153. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check practical technical drivers of USD Partners LP, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for USD Partners LP, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate USD Partners LP information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis to decide if USD Partners is priced adequately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 5.46 per share. Given that USD Partners LP has jensen alpha of 0.9092, we advise you to double-check USD Partners LP's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at some point in the future.

Our Final Takeaway

Although some other companies under the railroads industry are still a bit expensive, USD Partners may offer a potential longer-term growth to insiders. To sum up, as of the 23rd of January 2021, we believe USD Partners is currently undervalued. It barely shadows the market and projects below average probability of financial unrest in the next two years. However, our primary 30 days buy-hold-sell recommendation on the firm is Strong Sell.

About Contributor

Ellen Johnson is a Member of Macroaxs Editorial Board. Ellen covers public companies in North America, focusing primarily on valuation and volatility. Six years of experience in predictive investment analytics and risk management. View Profile
This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of USD Partners LP. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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