Will Vince Holding (NYSE:VNCE) dip in October?

Vince Holding is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.1516% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. While some risk-seeking shareholders are getting worried about consumer cyclical space, it is reasonable to digest Vince Holding Corp as a possible investment alternative. What exactly are Vince Holding shareholders getting in October?
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Vince Holding Corp currently holds roughly 26.65 M in cash with 4.57 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.26.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Vince Holding or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Vince Holding may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Vince's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Vince Holding and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Vince Holding fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Vince Holding's Liquidity

Vince Holding financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Vince Holding Corp ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Vince Holding financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Vince Holding's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Vince Holding's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Vince Holding's total debt and its cash.

Vince Holding Gross Profit

Vince Holding Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Vince Holding previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Vince Holding Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Vince Holding's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Vince Holding Volatility Drivers

Vince Holding unsystematic risk is unique to Vince Holding Corp and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Vince Holding you can also buy Ermenegildo Zegna NV. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the consumer discretionary sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Vince Holding important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Vince Holding income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Vince volatility.
0.780.730.78-0.43-0.240.730.64-0.07-0.20.790.790.720.11-0.79-0.680.780.15-0.150.760.8-0.1-0.08
0.780.630.98-0.65-0.130.930.63-0.38-0.10.780.780.690.18-0.8-0.70.820.24-0.210.790.82-0.11-0.1
0.730.630.75-0.07-0.430.720.7-0.10.180.70.70.680.61-0.62-0.660.830.26-0.640.870.83-0.37-0.11
0.780.980.75-0.5-0.20.940.66-0.430.060.80.80.710.32-0.81-0.750.870.25-0.330.860.87-0.17-0.14
-0.43-0.65-0.07-0.5-0.14-0.54-0.31-0.170.74-0.43-0.43-0.370.240.430.26-0.33-0.15-0.18-0.29-0.33-0.03-0.08
-0.24-0.13-0.43-0.2-0.14-0.23-0.30.3-0.340.010.01-0.03-0.630.160.46-0.220.550.47-0.29-0.32-0.10.55
0.730.930.720.94-0.54-0.230.85-0.330.010.740.740.690.25-0.71-0.650.780.21-0.290.770.79-0.18-0.07
0.640.630.70.66-0.31-0.30.85-0.060.030.590.590.620.18-0.47-0.410.550.16-0.280.580.57-0.260.07
-0.07-0.38-0.1-0.43-0.170.3-0.33-0.06-0.72-0.07-0.070.0-0.280.250.38-0.230.240.15-0.22-0.26-0.180.39
-0.2-0.10.180.060.74-0.340.010.03-0.72-0.12-0.12-0.10.440.08-0.110.04-0.13-0.370.090.06-0.06-0.22
0.790.780.70.8-0.430.010.740.59-0.07-0.121.00.960.1-0.81-0.60.920.56-0.270.90.89-0.410.23
0.790.780.70.8-0.430.010.740.59-0.07-0.121.00.960.1-0.81-0.60.920.56-0.270.90.89-0.410.23
0.720.690.680.71-0.37-0.030.690.620.0-0.10.960.960.14-0.63-0.410.830.65-0.390.850.79-0.610.43
0.110.180.610.320.24-0.630.250.18-0.280.440.10.10.14-0.07-0.390.4-0.03-0.920.50.42-0.34-0.33
-0.79-0.8-0.62-0.810.430.16-0.71-0.470.250.08-0.81-0.81-0.63-0.070.91-0.88-0.040.0-0.81-0.9-0.170.33
-0.68-0.7-0.66-0.750.260.46-0.65-0.410.38-0.11-0.6-0.6-0.41-0.390.91-0.820.240.2-0.77-0.87-0.290.64
0.780.820.830.87-0.33-0.220.780.55-0.230.040.920.920.830.4-0.88-0.820.35-0.440.990.99-0.27-0.1
0.150.240.260.25-0.150.550.210.160.24-0.130.560.560.65-0.03-0.040.240.35-0.330.380.23-0.830.83
-0.15-0.21-0.64-0.33-0.180.47-0.29-0.280.15-0.37-0.27-0.27-0.39-0.920.00.2-0.44-0.33-0.56-0.420.69-0.07
0.760.790.870.86-0.29-0.290.770.58-0.220.090.90.90.850.5-0.81-0.770.990.38-0.560.98-0.38-0.05
0.80.820.830.87-0.33-0.320.790.57-0.260.060.890.890.790.42-0.9-0.870.990.23-0.420.98-0.19-0.2
-0.1-0.11-0.37-0.17-0.03-0.1-0.18-0.26-0.18-0.06-0.41-0.41-0.61-0.34-0.17-0.29-0.27-0.830.69-0.38-0.19-0.77
-0.08-0.1-0.11-0.14-0.080.55-0.070.070.39-0.220.230.230.43-0.330.330.64-0.10.83-0.07-0.05-0.2-0.77
Click cells to compare fundamentals

Is Vince Holding valued correctly by the market?

The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 340.19 M. Net Loss for the year was (10.04 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 178.43 M.

Can Vince Holding build up on the latest surge?

The maximum drawdown is down to 23.21 as of today. Vince Holding Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.99 and kurtosis of 8.13. However, we advise investors to further study Vince Holding Corp technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.

Our Conclusion on Vince Holding

Although some firms in the apparel manufacturing industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Vince Holding may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. To conclude, as of the 14th of September 2020, our analysis shows that Vince Holding barely shadows the market. The firm is overvalued and projects very high chance of bankruptcy for the next 2 years. Our ongoing 30 days 'Buy-Sell' recommendation on the firm is Sell.

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Editorial Staff

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