Vince Story

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VNCE -- USA Stock  

USD 8.86  0.12  1.34%

It looks as if Vince Holding may not recover as fast as we have hopped for as its price went down 5.51% today. The entity's current daily volatility is 5.32 percent, with a beta of 0.36 and an alpha of 0.25 over DOW. While some millenniums are indifferent towards current market swings, it makes sense to digest Vince Holding Corp based on its technical indicators. I will address the reasons why this entity does not get much respect from shareholders under the current market uncertainty.
Published over a month ago
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How risky is Vince Holding Corp after the latest volatility surge?
Vince Holding Corp currently holds roughly 782 K in cash with 887 K of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07. We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Vince Holding. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time.
Investing in Vince Holding, just like investing in any other equity instrument, is characterized by a strong risk-return correlation. High risks mean high returns and low risk means lower expected returns. Risk management is the act of identifying and assessing the potential risk and developing strategies to minimize these risks and earn maximum possible profits while holding Vince Holding along with other instruments in the same portfolio. Using conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis to select individual securities into a portfolio complements risk management and adds value to overall investors' investing strategies.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vince Holding's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vince Holding in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vince Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vince Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vince Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vince Holding Corp.

How important is Vince Holding's Liquidity

Vince Holding financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Vince Holding Corp ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Vince Holding financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Vince Holding's total debt and its cash.

How Vince utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Vince Holding, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Vince Holding is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Vince Holding cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Vince Holding Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 80.27 Million

Vince Holding Correlation with Peers

Investors in Vince can reduce exposure to individual asset risk by holding a diversified portfolio of assets in addition to a long position in Vince Holding Corp. Diversification will allow for the same portfolio return with reduced risk. The correlation table of Vince Holding and its peers is a two-dimensional matrix that shows the correlation coefficient between pairs of securities Vince is related in some way. The cells in the table are color-coded to highlight significantly positive and negative relationships. Each cell shows the correlation between one pair of equities and can be used to run pair trading strategies or create efficient portfolios with your current brokerage. Please check volatility of Vince for more details

What is driving Vince Holding Investor Appetite?

Vince Holding appears to be risky, given 1 month investment horizon. Vince Holding Corp owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e. Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0375, which indicates the firm had 0.0375% of return per unit of risk over the last month. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vince Holding Corp, which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the company. Please operate Vince Holding Semi Deviation of 4.18, coefficient of variation of 1778.65, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0731 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Click cells to compare fundamentals   Check Volatility   Backtest Portfolio

Will Vince Holding continue to go ballistic?

Latest total risk alpha is at -0.23. As of the 13th of December 2020, Vince Holding has the Semi Deviation of 4.18, risk adjusted performance of 0.0731, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1778.65. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Vince Holding Corp, as well as the relationship between them. In other words, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past prices and volume data, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Vince Holding Corp, which can be compared to its competition. Please validate Vince Holding Corp treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and expected short fall to decide if Vince Holding is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 6.0 per share. Given that Vince Holding Corp has jensen alpha of 0.2526, we advise you to double-check Vince Holding Corp's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Conclusion on Vince Holding

Although some other companies in the apparel manufacturing industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Vince Holding may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. To summarize, as of the 13th of December 2020, our analysis shows that Vince Holding slowly supersedes the market. The firm is overvalued and projects very high chance of distress for the next 2 years. Our ongoing 30 days 'Buy-vs-Sell' recommendation on the firm is Strong Sell.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Vince Holding Corp. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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